Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, November 28, 2014

Free picks, horse racing Nov. 29

NEW ORLEANS

FG ONE
#5 Motormech has potential, but may be with wrong trainer.
#2 David’s Honor needs clean closing trip.
#7 My Kay Sara weakens near the wire.
#3 Mr. Andrew loves to place.
#4 Nipikins will try to wire ‘em and just might.
#1 Aaron’s Tornado another place horse.
5-76 (X)
2-75 (A)
7-74 (C)
3-73 (A)
4-71 (A) 3.20
1-71 (A)

FG TWO
#2 Hoodatcrook  has a new trainer. Yay.
#4 Sugar Kate is only 1-for-12 on turf.
#6 Legal Technicality could win after surface switch.
4-79 (X)
2-77 (D)
6-73 (C)
3-72 (D)
1-72 (C)
7-71 (A) 1.60

FG THREE
#3 Salty’s Officer has 3 powerhouse wins.
#4 Off Cycle is 7-for-18 including 3 wins here.
#2 Star Shopper is a closer more likely to place/show.
#5 French Celebrity: Could blow ‘em away if fixed up.
4-84 (A)
5-83 (X)
3-80 (A) 1.10
2-79 (D)

FG FOUR
#1 Our Little Margie, a danger on drop at 20/1
#3 Dreaming of Kitten, new trainer may help.
#4 Chief Dante, desperate now after 13 losses.
#5 Lorlei True, class drop, surface switch may help.
4-78 (A)
3-76 (D)
1-73 (B)
5-72 (B)
9-6.10

FG FIVE
Six true contenders in this allowance sprint. Watch for long odds.
#6 Tough Business may be favored. But he punked out in last two at short prices.
#1 Summertime Friend, long vacation, new trainer, after muddy disaster.
#3 Core Destination, needs more than 6/1, but could surprise after layoff.
#2 Debbie Ann, closer in a sprint, but she has 2 FG wins and 2 sprint wins.
1-85 (X)
3-83 (X)
2-82 (X)
4-82 (B)
5-81 (C)
6-81 (A) 3.20

FG SIX
#11 Sweet Daddy, sharp in last five races. Trainer wins at 31%.
#3 Shellac, long odds after bad runs on wrong surface.
#4 Pagets, an Asmussen closer that has been a disappointment.
11-85 (A) 1.10
3-81 (D)
4-80 (A)


FG SEVEN
#5 Awesome Aubree a worthy single.
Might be worth hooking Aubree with longshots from next race.
5-68 (C)
6-1.80

FG EIGHT
At least 7 true contenders in this turf mile. Play long.
10-88 (C)
11-86 (C)
5-86 (C) 6.20
1-85 (D)
3-85 (D)
8-85 (C)
2-83 (D)

FG NINE
Seven contenders in this big-talent sprint allowance. Don’t bite chalk.
#9 Sum of Parts, the likely favorite, has 8 wins but has failed 6 times lately at short odds. Not a good short-price bet. Especially considering there are 6 strong horses here.
#3 Texas Two Step has run well in all of his 3 races.
#2 Visionary Ruler is 5-for-12 and usually in the pace.
#7 Sandbar, maybe the best longshot, won his last mightily under new boss.
7-96 (A)
2-94 (C)
8-93 (A)
9-93 (B) 1.90
3-93 (A)
6-92 (B)


FG TEN
#2 Tensas Evidence, could be 10/1 upfront surprise.
#3 Mr. Drew, won last easily, rested, comes back at 10/1.
2-80 (D)
3-77 (X)
4-73 (D)
6-73  (A)
8-61.40

TAMPA

TAM ONE
An obvious 3-horse race.
5-63A
1-63B 3.60
9-62A
7-57A

TAM TWO
#2 Magic Olivia looks to be the most willing.
10-72D
2-69B 1.80
1-62A

TAM THREE
#6 Moonshine Promise, a Keeneland winner, listed at 6/1
6-91A
1-88B
5-86D 6.80


TAM FOUR
#10 No Fruit Degroote had been off 7 months.
#2 Yanks Geopardy broke maiden after 15th tries.
#4 Free Flowing has hit the board 6-of-11.
#5 Fabulous Bear hated Canada, switches surface.
10-78X
2-76A
4-75A
5-72C 7.70

TAM FIVE
#5 Learn the Lingo always tries
#7 Jill’s Image often overmatched, fits here.
#11 Ms. Judy is a plodder, but faces weak field.
#10 Lovely Jane more likely for place/show.
11-77C
7-74B
5-72A
10-72B
4-69B
7-69D
9-67A
1-34.30

TAM SIX
Any of the top five could easily score. Get a price.
3-84D
6-83B
8-83D
2-83D 3.60
4-79A


TAM SEVEN
#11 Jarrod’s Commando has beaten better horses.
#9 Twocubanbrothersu Boston refugee, has done well at Tampa
11-93C
9-90C
3-87A 10.20
8-87B
7-85A
2-84A

TAM EIGHT
A turf mile with 8 true contenders. Watch for longshots.
6-87D
8-86A .90
10-85A
5-85D
7-84B
3-84D
1-82A


TAM NINE
#6 Guam Typhoon, an absolute monster at Tampa.
#10 Haywired, well named , might just wire ‘em.
6-97D
10-95B
11-91C
9-90A
5-89C
7-88B
4-84A
12-84B 8.60
2-84C

TAM TEN
The longshot race of the day, with 10 true contenders. Play the board.
12-88B
3-88C
2-87B
1-85C
14-85B
9-84A
10-84B
4-84B 2.40
7-83A
5-83B

AQUEDUCT


AQU TWO
3-89C
6-85A
5-81A
1-1.00

AQU FOUR (COMELY G3)
Scratches may improve chances of the bottom picks.
1X-100B
1-97B
2-97B
1A-96A 1.85
5-95A
4-95C
3-93A
6-93A
7-93D

AQU SEVEN
7-97C
1-95B
2-95A 9.20
3-94A


AQU EIGHT (DEMOISELLE G2)
7-91B
3-90A
8-87A 1.55
5-85A

AQU NINE (REMSEN G2)
11-98A
2B-94A
12-94A
1-91A
10-90A
2-6.80

AQU TEN (CIGAR G1)
Nine in the gate, and every single one with a chance. Longshot play.
2-105B Itsmylucky Day, Woodward winner.
8-104C Regally Ready, would need a big step up.
6-103A Secret Circle, won Southwest G3
1-103B 4.80 Private Zone damn near won last Cigar.
4-102A Vyjack, Kelso G2 winner, 3-for-4 at AQU.
5-100A Transparent, need very long odds, AQU win.
7-102A Big Business, placed in a G1 at 20-1.
9-101A Bourbon Courage, big rush in BC Sprint.
3-101B Noble Moon, Jerome G2 winner.

















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