Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, November 14, 2014

FREE HORSE RACING PICKS NOV. 15 CHURCHILL, AQUEDUCT, GULFSTREAM

About our power ratings: These are not like speed figures. These numerical ratings are built so that a difference of 1 is a true difference. They have proven reliable over many hundreds of races. The "A" horses will win substantially more often that the "B" horses, which will win more often than horses that aren't rated or that are rated C.


CHURCHILL



RACE TWO
The pick 3 offered here could be played for $4:
1-3-4-5*7*1
With four "A" fillies in the $40K claimer, we're going to demand odds of 5-1 on any of these...
#1-Tis Lately 25 A
#3-Rulelikecleopatra 25 A
#4-Lady Marian 25 A
#5-Indygo Star 25 A

RACE THREE
A $2 pick-3 here could be played 7*1*2-4
Our "A" horse looks much the best, and is playable down to even money.
#7 Geometry 22 A
#6 Divine Miss Ellie 20 C

RACE FOUR
$6 pick-3: 1*2-4*1-3-4
Again, this "A" horse is playable at even money.
#1 Indiana Annie 22 A
#7 DelRose 21 B

RACE FIVE
$18 Pick-3 2-4*1-3-4*(B)2-10-11
Two "A" horses means look for 3-1 on either.
#2 Southern Blessing 24 A
#4 Cat's in the Mood 24 A
#3 Rossmoyne 22 C

RACE SIX
$9 Double 1-3-4*3-5-13
Three true contenders, look for 4-1.
#1 Rous 21 A
#3 Catchifyoucan 21 A
#4 Clever Fox 21 A

Someone looking for a big score might consider this Pick-3. Longshots are likely to win the turf races, and there's a maiden junker in between that's nothing but   a dice roll. Would not be surprised by a $300 payout.

RACE SEVEN Commonwealth G-3 Turf
Full, talented field with 9 logical winners.  Look for 6-1 on the "A" horses, 10-1 on the B horses and 15-1 on the "C".
#3 Wallyanne 27 A (Distance win)
#5 Heart to Heart 27 A (Churchill win)
#13 Bashart 27 A (2-for-3 at distance)
#2 Archway to Heaven 26 B (place at distance)
#10 Captain Dixie 26 B (win at distance)
#11 Afortable 26 B
#1 Woodfield Springs 25 C (0-for-3 at distance)
#7 Other Creek 25 C (2-for-3 at distance)
#9 Hightail 25 C (win at distance)
  • Note that #7 (12-1 ML) hasn't run a bad race since his debut
RACE NINE Revere Stakes, Turf
This race is insanely competitive. None of these 9 horses would be a surprise in the winners circle.We need 4-1 on the "A", 8-1 on the "B", and 15-1 on the "C."
#5 Personal Diary 28 A (3-for-3 itm at Churchill)
#11 Lady Lara 28 A (only 3-for-14 on turf)
#1 Testa Rossi 27 B (5-for-8 on turf)
#3 Distorted Beauty 27 B (3-for-5 on turf)
#6 Speed Seeker 27 B (2-for-4 on turf)
#7 Kiss Moon 26 C (2-for-4 on turf)
#8 Miss Frost 26 C 
#12 Sandiva 26 C
#13 Walk Close 26 C (3-for-6 on turf)


AQUEDUCT 

RACE ONE
$2 double 1*4-7
Worthy chalk/single in this race.
#1 Wealth to Me 28 A
#3 Conspiracy 27 B
#5 Street Shark B

RACE TWO
Double trouble here and a possible exacta play.
#4 Animal Style 26 A
#7 Abilio 26 A

RACE FOUR
$2 double 1a*5-10
The 1A looks like worthy chalk.
#1A Patriot's Voyage 28 A
#11 Summit County 26 B

RACE FIVE
Two "A" horses, so play if one is 3-1. Or exacta box.
#5 Iced Over 26 A
#10 Changewilldoyagood 26 A

RACE SEVEN The Red Smith G3 Turf.
$8 double: 1-3-4-8*3-5
It's an 11-furlong race, and we are not considering any horse who hasn't run well at that distance or better.
The #8 is quoted at 7/2. The #1 at 10/1. Yet we rate them both the same, and maybe Red Rifle is worth a win-place vote if the odds get out of hand. Also might be worth boxing Red Rifle with the logical winners.
#3 Dynamic Sky 31 A (but 0-for-5 on turf)
#4 Big Blue Kitten 30 A (10-for-21 turf and distance win)
#1 Red Rifle 29 C (1-for-5 on turf)
#8 Legendary 29 C (4-for-12 on turf)

RACE EIGHT
Another race with a dynamic duo. Demand 3/1.
#3 Leroy Jr. 26 A
#5 Mighty Zealous 26 A


GULFSTREAM


RACE ONE
A monster here and a worthy single.
#2 K B Biorhythms 22 A

RACE THREE
$4 Pick-3: 1-7*7-8*3
Two "A" horses means look for 3-1 on either.
#1 Karate Jack 25 A
#7 Contrip 24 A
#3 Reggae Boy 24 B

RACE FOUR
Another double trouble race. Seek 3/1.
#7 Tinitus 25 A
#8 Concert State 25 A
#9 Favorite Ketch 24 B

RACE FIVE
A worthy chalk/single here.
#3 Colonel Glan 24 A
#10 Lion Keen 23 B
#7 Dreaming of Andy A 22 C

RACE SEVEN
$2 Pick3: 7*7*2-5
Street Princess ought to romp.
#7 Street Princess 21 A
#1 Zamarata 19 C
#5 Militsa 19 C

RACE EIGHT
Pick-3: 7*2-5*1-2-5-10
Another single, but this listed at 6/1.
#7 Divine Alda 27 A

RACE NINE
Need 3/1 on either.
#2 Artsy 24 A
#5 One Look 24 A

RACE TEN
Couple of good long shots maybe, with those B horses.
#1 Hot Cotton 24 A
#2 LaChuchi 24 A
#10 Solitary B
#5 Reign It In B









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