BREEDER’S
CUP DAY SANTA ANITA
This A-B-C method has been tested over thousands of races and has produced a small profit. A lone A horse in a race might be worth backing as the favorite. If there's more than one A, or more than a couple of B's, you're looking at a longshot race.
Most of
the races here are just too competitive for chalk play. There are a few
exceptions, as noted. But patient longshot players may do all right.
If you've got nine races to play, catching even one longshot winner could put you in positive territory for the day. Playing a couple of long shots per race might be a worthy strategy too.
For pick players, it's high risk, high reward. But I'd look at Race Five as a pivot, since using its 3 A horses might pare down an otherwise ghastly expensive ticket. For instance, using only A horses in Races 4-5-6 requires only a $6 base ticket.
BREEDER'S CUP BET ALL: $314 WIN FOR $228 BET.
LOOSE HORSE BET ALL: $55 WIN FOR $73 BET
Not a great day for the Loose Horse.
When the favorites don't dominate, chaos reigns!
If you've got nine races to play, catching even one longshot winner could put you in positive territory for the day. Playing a couple of long shots per race might be a worthy strategy too.
For pick players, it's high risk, high reward. But I'd look at Race Five as a pivot, since using its 3 A horses might pare down an otherwise ghastly expensive ticket. For instance, using only A horses in Races 4-5-6 requires only a $6 base ticket.
BREEDER'S CUP BET ALL: $314 WIN FOR $228 BET.
LOOSE HORSE BET ALL: $55 WIN FOR $73 BET
Not a great day for the Loose Horse.
When the favorites don't dominate, chaos reigns!
RACE ONE
2-year-olds
downhill. Why bother?
RACE TWO
1-Acceptance
29 A WIN $3.40
Probably
the only legit favorite running today.
RACE FOUR
Juvenile Fillies
Not as
loaded as the other races, but still the #1 and #2 horses are roughly equal in
ability, so neither would deserve low odds. I’d look for 4-1 on the A, and 6-1
on the B.
1-Feathered
29 A
2-Angela
Renee 29 A
4-Conquest
Eclipse 28 B
10-
Wonder Girl 28 B
6-Take Charge Brandi (X) $125.40
6-Take Charge Brandi (X) $125.40
RACE FIVE
F&M 10-furlong turf
I’m
discarding the Euros here and elsewhere, since they don’t win more than their
share of races, and I’m looking for an edge. There are three A-strong horses
here, so I’d hope for 6-1 on one of them.
1-Abaco
30 A
2-Just
the Judge 30 A
3-Dank 30
A
4-Day at
the Spa 29 B WIN $13.00
RACE SIX
F&M sprint
If
Artemis weakens, there are five willing and able to take over. I’d look for 7-1
among the B horses.
5-Artemis
Agrotera 30 A
1-Sweet
Reason 29 B
3-Stonetastic
29 B
4-Thank
You Marylou 29 B
6-Leigh
Court 29 B
9-Better
Lucky 29 B
7-Judy the Beauty (X) WIN 8.20
7-Judy the Beauty (X) WIN 8.20
RACE
SEVEN Downhill Turf sprint
Maybe
Caspar is a legit favorite, still, the quirky nature of this race suggests a
scan of the B horses for equally quirky odds.
13-Caspar
Netscher 30 A
3-Street
Swap 29 B
4-Tightend
Touchdown 29 B
10-Home
Run Kitten 29 B
6-Bobby's Kitten (X) WIN $16.40
6-Bobby's Kitten (X) WIN $16.40
RACE
EIGHT Juvenile boys
Could go
to the chalk, since if Upstart can shake Daredevil, he might romp over those C
horses.
13-Upstart
30 A
12-Daredevil
29 B
5-American
Pharoah 28 C
9-Carpe
Diem 28 C
7-Texas Red (X) win 29.80
7-Texas Red (X) win 29.80
RACE NINE
12 furlong turf
Lots of B
horses, any of which could give Telescope trouble with a good trip. 9-1 is
where to start looking.
1-Telescope
31 A
2-Twilight
Eclipse 30 B
3-Imaging
30 B
4-Brown
Panther 30 B
8-Magician
30 B
11-Chiquita
30 B
12-Main
Sequence 30 B win 14.40
RACE TEN
Sprint
Wow!
Three A horses and six B horses. This is super-longshot race. Can you get 6-1
on an A? If not, then at least 10-1 on a B.
6-Rich
Tapestry 31 A
8-Palace
31 A
9-Saltuos
Amigos 31 A
4-Secret
Circle 30 B
5-Private
Zone 30 B
7-Mico
Margarita 30 B
10-Big
Macher 30 B
11-Bakken
30 B
13 Work
All Week 30 B WIN 40.20
RACE
ELEVEN Turf mile
Summer
Front may be worth a look as chalk. But against these heavy-hitters, that had
best be at least 4-1. Otherwise, try a B horse at 8-1 or better.
10-Summer
Front 31 A
2-Obviously
30 B
6-Tom’s
Tribute 30 B
8-Trade
Storm 30 B
11-Sayad
30 B
12-Seek
Again 30 B
14-Karakontie (X) WIN $62.00
14-Karakontie (X) WIN $62.00
RACE
TWELVE The Classic
The much
hyped California Chrome is just another horse in with these. I’d look for 5-1
on the A horses and 9-1 on the B horses. None of these 7 would cause mass fainting should they enter the winner’s circle.
You’d
need 5-1 on the A horses and 10-1 on the B.
7-Bayern
32 A WIN $6.20
2-Cigar
Street 32 A
6-Shared
Belief 32 A
4-Moreno
31 B
8-Zivo 31
B
12-Candy
Boy 31 B
13-California Chrome 31 B
13-California Chrome 31 B
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