Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Keeneland April 20

Kee Two
#6 Strike the Tiger 3/2 (40%) 1.30
#7 St. Armands 4/1 (20%) 5.10
#9 Fleurdefortyfour 3/1 (25%) 2.20
Win: $6.10 for $3
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Kee Three
#7 Bye Bye Bunting 4/1 (20%) 4.50
#9 Miss Clark County 3/2 (40%) 1.80
Win: $2.80 for $2
Double: $29 for $6
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Kee Six: Turf chaos
Minimum bet: 8/1
If #13 doesn't get in, everybody's odds drop a notch.
The list below shows the best horses, but almost anybody
could win at almost any price.
#1 Aldous Snow 10/1 6.70
#3 Good, Better, Best 8/1
#6 Valentino Beauty 8/1 7.70
#12 Film Shot 10/1 5.60
#13 Screenplay 8/1
Win $8.70 for $3
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Kee Seven
#4 Awesome Flower 3/2 (40%) 1.20
#5 Clear Danger 4/1 (20%) 7.90
Win $2.20 for $2
Double: $22 for $6
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Kee Eight: Giants Causeway
Chaos turf sprint
Minimum bet 7/2
#2 Extravaganza 5/1 (16%) 4.90
#5 Sensible Lady 4/1 (20%) 3.10
#6 Formal Plan 8/1 (11%) 49.80
#9 Sweet Cassiopeia 7/2 (22%) 2.10
Win: $3.10 for $4
Double $7 for $8

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Kee Nine: Lexington
Big race, but not all that much competition.
A 54% chance the winner is one of these two:
#3 River Rocks 5/1 (16%) 8.50
#11 Pure Fun 8/5 (38%) 3.80
Win 0 for $2
Double 0 for $6
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Kee Ten: a chaos sprint
Minimum bet: 7/2
About 85% of the chance lies in these:
#1 Break of Silence 6/1 (14%) 16.20
#2 New Believer 7/2 (22%) 4.70
#3 Suyeta 5/1 (16%) 1.70
#7 J B's Unc 7/1 (12%) 8.90
#9 Ghost Chapel 9/1 (10%) 4.00
#10 Tahoe Warrior 7/1 (12%) 31.60
Win: $2.70 for $6
Double: 0 for $12.
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