Horse racing Worthy Chalk March 23

Prices quoted are fair odds
and not the morning line.
Races on these cards
that are not listed
are maiden races 
or "chaos" races
with poor prospects
for the favorite.

AQUEDUCT
AQU Three: #3 Dads Caps 2/1 paid 4/5
AQU Four: #3 Regal Warrior 3/1
AQU Six : #3 Writing on the Wall 3/2 paid 4/5
AQU Seven: #4 Golden Galaxy 2/1 paid 1/1
AQU Eight: #5 Avenging Spirit 5/2

HAWTHORNE
Looks like a very chalky day.
HAW One: #1 Leal Ridge 3/5
HAW Two: #4 Lisa's Fool 3/1
HAW Three: #5 Little Frances 2/1
HAW Four: #4 Viking 2/1
HAW Five: #7 Domain's Rap 3/2
HAW Six: #7 Magic Bullet 3/2
HAW Seven: #3 Champion Kid 1/1

OAKLAWN
muddy and foggy so, bets are off
OP One: #2 Lotto Cat 5/2
OP Three: #1 Incognito Bandito 1/1
OP Seven: #2 Distinct Affair 1/2
OP Eight: #8 Le Mans 1/1
OP Nine: (Hot Springs) #2 Apprehender 9/5

TURFWAY
TP One: #5 Goose Skywalker 5/2 paid 7/5
TP Two: #2 October Song 5/2
TP Three #2 Glamour Galore 2/1 paid 8/5
Also #7 Ditch the Act 2/1
TP Four: #2 Count on Silver 1/2
TP Five: #4 Reason to Medal 2/1
TP Six: #9 St. Armands 2/1 paid 8/5
TP Nine: #5 Pure Fun 3/2

TURFWAY SPIRAL STAKES
Chaos rating: 38
"Normal" race rating: 22
This is a chaos event supposedly between
#3 Uncaptured and #1 Balance the Books
We calculate that there is at least a 70%
chance of a longshot winner here.
Top longshot candidates
with fair odds:
#5 My Name is Michael 7/1
#6 For Greater Glory 9/1
#7 Mac the Man 7/1
#8 General Election 6/1
#10 Giant Finish 7/1

For Gulfstream fair odds, see previous post.