- predicted wins: 26%
- actual wins 25%
- return on bet: 98%
In general, our predictions for horses come within 1% of their actual win chances most of the time. A bet on every horse we've graded A, B,C or D returns 96 cents on the dollar, regardless of odds.
Betting only on horses that meet the minimum odds turns that small loss into a small profit. (The sample size for this result was drawn from more than 2,000 runners. The return on a random win bet in American horse racing is about 75%. The return for bets on post-time favorites is about 85%.)
Horseplayers confident in their handicapping methods could reduce their effective takeout to 4% merely by making their selections only from ABCD horses.
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