Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, December 07, 2012

Tampa December 8

A better card for longshot players than either Fairgrounds or Gulfstream.

Tam Three (longshot)
A cheap claimer but evenly matched horses. We're not biting on the Ness horse, #8 Tripp O Steel. His latest win was a laugher lead against nobody at Delaware. He's up against somebody here, and the 2/1 line is way, way too short.
1 (C) 8/1
1A (B) 6/1 (3-1 if coupled)
4 (C) 8/1
6 (C) 8/1
7 (A) 5/1
8 (A) 5/1
Ungraded #3 wins 3.30

Tam Four (normal)
#4 Sea Fighter is our sneaky horse, 4/1 on the line. No speed and needs a trip, but a game fighter in the lane.
2 (D) 8/1
4 (A) 7/2
5 (D) 8/1
8 (A) 3/1
11 (B) 4/1
Ungraded #3 win 35.70

Tam Five (normal)
1A (B) 7/2
2 (B) 7/2
2B (A) 3/1 (entry is 7/5 if coupled)
3 (C) 5/1 win 6.80
10 (D) 7/1

Tam Six The Pelican Stakes (chalky)
Looks like a battle between #1 Indiano and #6 Action Andy. We'd prefer action on Action. Indiano has been off four months and knows nothing about Tampa. Action Andy is 6-for-6 win/place at Tampa, and fresh off a 10-1 score.
1 (A) 6/5
6 (A) 1/1 win 0.90

Tam Seven (normal)
The two "A" horses have 50% of the chance. The other half goes to the "C" and "D" fellas. Yep, that's a normal race all right. Accept no bad prices...
3 (C) 5/1
4 (D) 7/1
5 (A) 3/1
6 (A) 3/1
7 (D) 7/1
8 (D) 8/1 win 6.40

Tam Nine (longshot)
A 2X Allowance with monster competition. We give a slight edge to #7 Devil Train but would have a hell of a time accepting the 3/1 line. A turf and a slop race may obscure his talent, though, to casual handicappers in the crowd.
1 (D) 12/1
2 (C) 9/1
3 (A) 5/1
4 (B) 7/1
6 (A) 5/1
7 (A) 4/1
8 (D) 12/1
Ungraded #5 win 1.90

Tam Ten (chalky)
#2 Africanist has two layoff wins, so you can't pretend he don't have a chance. But the main chance belongs to #6 Margano and #7 Osceola Prince. The Prince will try to wire 'em, and has a chance if Serpa can measure out a half in 48-plus. Mangano is the man for the lane. An exacta box might be wise...
2 (D) 7/2
6 (A) 7/5
7 (C) 5/2 win 3.20








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