WO Two (normal)
We start with a more or less average 1X allowance. Our handicapping does not diverge much from the morning line.
- 1 (B) 3/1
- 3 (B) 3/1
- 4 (U) 10/1
- 6 (D) 6/1
- 7 (A) 5/2 @1.95
Four "A" horses here. #3 My Destiny is under-appreciated if 8/1 as the morning line predicts. So is #4 Novo at 6/1. The line on #8 Carolina Moon is ridiculous at 2/1. Yes, she is capable of winning, but she's 1-for-20 at Woodbine and has blown good chances in four recent races. Is that 2-1? Really guys? Really?
- 1 (A) 4/1 @1.20
- 2 (B) 5/1
- 3 (A) 9/2
- 4 (A) 9/2
- 6 (D) 10/1
- 8 (A) 4/1
If #6 Blues Music goes as the chalk, she is a bet against. Yes she won her comeback race nicely but that was the best performance of her career. She's likely to regress. Instead we like #7 American Placed, and not because we're patriotic. She hasn't faced horses this slow ever.
- 6 (D) 6/1
- 7 (A) 5/2
- 14 (B) 3/1
- Underneath #2-11-8 all at 10/1
Extremely competitive and sets up well for longshot players. With 14 horses in the gate, even the two "A" horses are longshots. Accept no low odds here. The most likely scenario is that one of the "C" or "D" longshots finds her way through.
- 1 (D) 14/1
- 3 (D) 14/1
- 6 (A) 6/1 @6.50
- 8 (A) 6/1
- 9 (D) 14/1
- 10 (C) 10/1
- 11 (D) 14/1
- 12 (C) 10/1
- 13 (D) 14/1
- 14 (C) 10/1
Our "A" pick is 15/1 in the morning. #11 Stardust Ziggy is not a David Bowie song but a gelding who is cutting back to a sprint he just might win, as evidenced by his running line on Oct. 5. We also like #4 Bear Chocalated twice as much as the morning line does.
- 1 (C) 8/1
- 2 (B) 6/1
- 4 (B) 6/1
- 6 (D) 11/1
- 8 (C) 8/1
- 11 (A) 5/1
#4 Stars to Shine is 6/1 in the morning. We'd take that. #8 Magic Broomstick is 5/1. We wouldn't take that.
- 2 (D) 11/1
- 3 (B) 6/1
- 4 (A) 5/1
- 8 (A) 5/1 @3.80
- 9 (B) 6/1
- 10 (C) 8/1
#2 Wonderful Breeze is 8/1 in the morning line, but best according to our method and according to Brisnet.
- 2 (A) 7/2
- 3 (C) 6/1
- 4 (B) 9/2
- 5 (D) 8/1 @1.85
- 7 (D) 8/1
- 9 (B) 9/2
#3 Political Era we see as a contender much stronger than his 8/1 morning line.
- 1 (A) 3/1 @3.00
- 3 (B) 7/2
- 6 (C) 9/2
- 7 (U) 10/1
- 11 (B) 7/2
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