November 24 and overall recap

We did poorly with the four cards we handicapped on Nov. 24

• 91 runners met our odds demands
• 8 of them won, 20 placed and 34 showed.
• Our return on bet was $68 for $91 bet, or 75%

That number, 75%, is more or less what you'd get if you bet at random. So our handicapping added no value on this day. The unusual spread between our win-place-show results implies that many of our steeds were good enough to win, but couldn't close the deal.

However, the overall results this fall are better:

• 587 horses were ranked A, B,C or D and met our odds demands

77 won and returned 106%.

• 452 horses were rated A,B,C or D but did not meet our odds demands

96 won and returned 77%

• 967 horses were not good enough to be ranked.

42 won and returned 55%

... so with 2000-plus runners evaluated since Oct. 1, we're feeling pretty good about our ability to identify hopeless horses, and to parse out the better bets among those who do have a chance.
Onward!