Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, November 02, 2012

Churchill, Nov.3

CD Race One
There shouldn't be a low-price favorite among these "A" horses.
  • 3-(A) 4/1
  • 4-(A) 4/1
  • 5-(A) 4/1
  • 6-(A) 4/1 Win 3.20
  • 7-(A) 4/1
CD Race Two
Extremely chalky. The #4 Dixie Jackpot comes off poly and turf with some spectacular (for this class) dirt races in her way-back. Gets a top rider in Terry Thompson, too. The 12/1 morning line can't hold. Some in the crowd will see past those last races.
  • 4-(A) 4/5
  • 5-(E) 9/1
  • 6-(D) 4/1

CD Race Three ... Pass

CD Race Four
More or less chalky, but these four are all bargains if the morning line holds.
  • 2-(A) 2/1 Win 3.40
  • 3-(B) 5/2
  • 4-(E) 9/1
  • 7-(C) 7/2
CD Race Five ... The Bet on Sunshine sprint
Despite the better purse, this figures as another chalk fest.
  • 3-(A) 1/1 Win 1.00
  • 5-(C) 2/1
  • 6-(E) 5/1
CD Race Six
  • 1-(B) 4/1
  • 2-(A) 3/1
  • 5-(D) 7/1
  • 6-(C) 5/1 Win 2.20
  • 9-(B) 4/1
CD Race Seven ... Pass

CD Race Eight
Low odds should not be accepted in a race with two "A" horses.
  • 1-(A) 3/1
  • 2-(A) 3/1
  • 5-(C) 5/1 Win 2.40
  • 6-(C) 5/1

CD Race Nine
This one's competitive, and over the long run, races like this will produce more than their share of longshot winners.  The "A" horse in here, Salty Strike, is 7/2 in the morning line.
  • 2-(B) 5/1
  • 4-(D) 10/1
  • 8-(B) 5/1
  • 9-(D) 10/1 Win 6.70
  • 10-(C) 7/1
  • 11-(A) 4/1
CD Race Ten
The complexion of this one changes radically if #14, Wheaton's Express, scratches in. The odds for the qualifiers among the first 13 horses are shown below. They should all rise by several points if the #14 is in.
  • 1-(D) 8/1
  • 2-(D) 8/1
  • 3-(A) 7/2
  • 7-(D) 8/1
  • 10-(D) 8/1
  • {14-(A) 5/2}




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