Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, November 23, 2012

Churchill Nov. 24

Dart throwers, astrologers, whack-jobs and longshot desperadoes, this is YOUR day at Churchill. It's a Saturday for lightly-raced horses, and probably some high-price surprises. Ready? Spin the wheel !
Horses rated G1 (first grass) and R2 (second race) always have the ability to spring a surprise at a giant price.
CD One (longshot)
Any of the best five could easily win. Watch the board for bargains.
  • 1 (A) 4/1 @1.30
  • 2 (A) 4/1
  • 3 (B) 5/1
  • 4 (B) 5/1
  • 5 (U) 15/1
  • 6 (U) 15/1
  • 7 (B) 5/1
 CD Two (chalky)
  • 1 (A) 2/1
  • 4 (C) 3/1
  • 7 (U) 8/1
  • 8 (B) 5/2
 CD Seven (longshot)
Plenty of logical winners here and a couple of second timers to watch in case the tote lets them slip into the stratosphere.
  • 2 (R2) 12/1
  • 6 (R2 20/1
  • 7 (D) 9/1
  • 8 (B) 5/1
  • 9 (B) 5/1
  • 10 (C) 7/1
  • 11 (A) 4/1 @3.00
  • 12 (D) 9/1
CD Eight (longshot)
We're fairly well in agreement with the morning line here, which is unusual. We do think the #2 Indiana Charlie has a much better chance in his first turf try than 20/1. Now we have to wait for the crowd to chip in...
  • 2 (G1) 8/1
  • 3 (C) 7/1
  • 4 (C) 7/1
  • 5 (A) 4/1
  • 7 (U) 15/1
  • 8 (B) 5/1
  • 10 (B) 5/1 @6.50
  • 11 (B) 5/1
CD Nine The Golden Rod (longshot)
Two "A" horses, and nobody should be below 4-1.
  • 2 (D) 9/1
  • 3 (C) 7/1
  • 4 (A) 4/1
  • 5 (C) 7/1
  • 7 (C) 7/1
  • 8 (D) 9/1 @31.00
  • 9 (A) 4/1
 CD Ten (normal)
We agree on the identity of the favorite, #9 Gulfport, but don't think he's worth the morning line of 2/1. He's likely to get pounded down on the board, creating an overlay somewhere.
  • 2 (D) 7/1
  • 5 (B) 4/1
  • 6 (D) 7/1
  • 8 (C) 5/1
  • 9 (A) 3/1 @1.00
  • 10 (D) 7/1
  • 11 (R2) 10/1

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