CROWD'S GREATEST MISTAKES, HOL711

1- Craig's Storm 3-1, pace and fade.

• Had the figs but not dominant. 21-2-5-3 life record, or 10-1, tendency to place and show. A "second best" horse who figured to wear himself out.
  

2- Raise the River 4-5 raced in between to show.

• 9-0-6-1. Another horse with the figs, but a strong tendency to place. Two other horses had better speed figures last time, so why was he 4-5?
  

3- Complexity 25-1. Place. Paid $18.60

• Ran at place-type odds. 4-for-17 in places. Which works out to under 4-1 place odds. Layoff for trainer whose only other layoff return resulted in a win.
  

4- I.B. Outta Here. 10-1 Win. Paid $23.00

• Second in speed last race, and third in speed at distance. A speed-fade last time and Gomez in the irons for the first time.
  

5- Big Bad Leroy Brown 8-1. Paid $18.80.

• 3rd in speed last race and tops at speed-distance. Just missed last time, switch to a high percent jockey, and 6-1 career odds.
  

6- None.

7- Ginger Pop 5:2. Led and faded to 4th. 3-1 career odds on turf and tendency to place and show as often as win. Been more than a year since last win.

8- Rail Trip 9-1, win and Tres Barachos, 23-1, place. Both paid $21.

• Rail Trip 7-5-2-0. Just missed last time.
• Tres Barrachos. Won last with giant fig, 2nd best in field. Just over 3-1 to place, careerwise.
  

9- None.

10- None.

11- Crafty Starlit, 6-1, never in it.

• Not a giant mistake, but mispriced anyway. A 6-1 horse ought to at least threaten to show. The horse's return from layoff was 3rd best fig in the field, but 9 points below the leader, and the performance was back, way back, with no move at any time.