ONE
7 Brown Dirt Cowboy 3/1 [C] but need much better odds.TWO
A race filled with good longshots and no reason to back chalk.
1 Rogue Minister 2/1 [B] nice horse, but not at that price. Win at 4-5
1 Rogue Minister 2/1 [B] nice horse, but not at that price. Win at 4-5
6 Will's Dream 7/2 [C] ... place at 7-1
7 Elvis Valentino 5/1 [C]
8 Susans Find 6/1 [C]
3 Intrusive 4/1 [C]
4 Absolved 10/1 [C]
7 Elvis Valentino 5/1 [C]
8 Susans Find 6/1 [C]
3 Intrusive 4/1 [C]
4 Absolved 10/1 [C]
(Pick-4 begins here. It's playable at 6x2x2x3 or $72.)
3 Gameboye 8/1 [B] the winner if Big Red has a bad day. Place 13-1
THREE
6 Big Red Hope 1/1 [A] key horse and single for all your multi-race bets.3 Gameboye 8/1 [B] the winner if Big Red has a bad day. Place 13-1
(Pick 3: 2x2x3=$12)
FOUR
10 Maddy's Crowd 5/2 [A] another key horse, but may have better odds8 Amenable 3/1 [C] 2nd best runner, but needs 5/1 really.
(Pick 3: 2*3*3=$18)
FIVE
No surprises here. The morning line has nailed the picks. The question is, will the crowd slip up and give nice odds on any of them? 1 Macho's Gold 4/1 [B]
7 Mike's Kong 5/2 [C]
(50-cent pick5: 3x8x2x5=$120.)
SIX
Once again, no surprises. We just have to wait for the crowd to make a mistake. Hopefully they'll drive the price of one of these horses down to irrational levels, and give us at least one longshot.2 Valid Sum 3/1 [B]
6 Endymion 5/2 [B] won at 8/5
1 Jersey Town 7/2 [C] place at 7/2
(Pick 3: 3x8x2=$48)
SEVEN
SEVEN
A turf race filled with longshot opportunities.
7 The Shaughraun 15/1 [A] is the best play on the card. His form has been darkened by two races that reflect nothing about his turf abilities. He's also been claimed by a better trainer and raised to allowance level, and this trainer wins 29% of his first races after a claim. The Shaughraun is not a mortal lock, but is as good as any horse here, and worth longshot odds.
7 The Shaughraun 15/1 [A] is the best play on the card. His form has been darkened by two races that reflect nothing about his turf abilities. He's also been claimed by a better trainer and raised to allowance level, and this trainer wins 29% of his first races after a claim. The Shaughraun is not a mortal lock, but is as good as any horse here, and worth longshot odds.
Any of the following are also worthy longshots:
11 Hold Your Ground 6/1 C
3 Pure Pulpit 7/2 C
8 Ready To Play 8/1 C
14 Big Jerome 8/1 C
2 Klever Kevin 20/1 C
6 Jack's Eleven 20/1 C
13 Grand Stage 5/1 C
3 Pure Pulpit 7/2 C
8 Ready To Play 8/1 C
14 Big Jerome 8/1 C
2 Klever Kevin 20/1 C
6 Jack's Eleven 20/1 C
13 Grand Stage 5/1 C
(A pick-4 begins here. It's an 8x2x5x1 or $80 play, but only if Together Indy scratches into the last race. Otherwise, completely unplayable because of the question marks all over that last race.)
EIGHT
Only two eligibles in this race.
8 Joey P. 9/5 A> won at 6/52 Unwritten 5/2 B>
[Late pick-3 ditto the pick 4 above)
11 Jocko F 9/2 C>
5 Discreet Interview C>
2 Concur 10/1 C>
12 Jersey Mojoe 6/1 C>
NINE
11 Fearless Eagle 6/1 B
5 Get Serious 6/1 C won at 8/1
4 March To Victory 5/1 C
6 Victory Alleged 10/1 C
11 Fearless Eagle 6/1 B
5 Get Serious 6/1 C won at 8/1
4 March To Victory 5/1 C
6 Victory Alleged 10/1 C
(Late double ditto pick-3 and pick-4 above.)
TEN
14 Together Indy 6/5 A> the best horse if he makes the gate.If not, here's a longshot list, but I wouldn't bet a ton of money here.
8 Thunderstruck 4/1 C>11 Jocko F 9/2 C>
5 Discreet Interview C>
2 Concur 10/1 C>
12 Jersey Mojoe 6/1 C>
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