ONE: Probable favorite: Justice is Brief. Despite rising figs, this horse is declining. 1 for 7 turf.
Key choice: Paloma's Flight. Won only turf race.
Wrong.
TWO: ML fave: Draft choice.
Exacta with Kaptain Kordough, who's getting first Lasix after a big maiden effort
$2 box paid $5.10
THREE: ML says World War. Who switches from a good trainer to a mediocre one. But I would take 5/2 based on class and speed. 3/2 tote, no bet
FOUR: No low odds accepted here.
Birdie Birdie. Not at low odds after two months of chomping carrots. Maybe at 4-1 .
Cherryblossommiss. Hmm. First grass, bad post, world's best turf jock. 4-1.
Alley Theater. Couple good turf efforts. 5/1.
Alley Theater, 8-1, showed.
FIVE: Rhodine's Kid. 1-for10, mediocre trainer, 3 months off-- no, not at 3/1, people.
Saxophone. Seems to like DMR, and coming right back after a place.
LONGSHOT: Go Flags Bro 15/1. Drops and may be capable based on early speed vs. classier.
Go Flags won at 11-1.
SIX: Palacio D' Amour. Yeah, maybe, but that was a mediocre race for this class.
LONGSHOT: Coco M. 10/1. Those odds supported by trainer stats, and dam has produced winners including one stakes winner.
Palacio won at 2-1.
SEVEN: Hiatus, 3/1 ML. Rallied to win against tiring, inexperienced horses.
Farleigh House 5/1. Turf horse may find early speed helps on AW. Definitely has the class.
Wrong.
EIGHT: Trifecta box...
Storm Mesa obviously, with five in a row.
Satan's Circus. Frenchie may just kick le butte after strong NA debut.
Misty Ocean. Ridiculous pace ruined last, and so will be overlaid. 3/5 turf.
Wrong.
NINE: Biggum listed as ML favorite. But a glance at record suggests fair odds of 20-1.
But I say pass the race and buy yerself a dog and brew.
Wrong. Biggum wins as 3/2 favorite.
Two races won, $16 bet, $18.50 returned.
Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments
Friday, August 15, 2008
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