ABOUT CANTERBURY:
Dirt: Extreme early speed bias, even in routes.
Turf: Stalkers win, tight turns, weak jockeys rarely win on turf here.
Weather: Dusty dry hot, low 90s.
RACE THREE THE IRON HORSE
Probable winner: Biblical Scholar. (118) Won 6 of 9 lately, including two starter allowances.
Longshot: House of Usher (118) ML 12-1. Dissed due to Iowa races.
Atrim County (121) declining, but not if you toss AW. Hates AW. WON AT 1.7
RACE FOUR GLASS SLIPPER
Probable winner: Moonlight Dreamer. (117) Lone speed, 50% sprint winner.
Longshot: None.
Morghyn (118) Better with new trainer, but closer on a speed track. Not worth low odds.
Quick Sale (118) Can't count out Scott Lake. But 2/1? No way.
RACE FIVE EXPRESS.
Probable Winner: Fire on the Wire (118) but not at low odds. Lots of competition early here.
Longshots: Chickster, (117) speed, has demolished CBY fields.
Pinecrest Inn: (118) Toss tuneup and see the potential if the pace melts.
Laudable: (118) Good races including five starter allowance in a row, and a KEE place.
Extra exclusive (118). WON AT 2.9
RACE SIX THE TIARA
Probable winner: Simply Run. (117) Hollywood winner twice lately.
Longshot: Couple Whiles (117) Wins at CBY, roars into the stretch.
Inhonorofjohnnie (118) likes the lead, fatal here.
Cat Hop (116) WON AT 16
Allnightdance (117)
House Quest (116)
Nobody has a real advantage so look for 5-1.
RACE SEVEN THE RAPID TRANSIT
Probable winner: Nobody at low odds. Looking 5-1 minimum. Guaranteed pace chaos as twelve of the thirteen runners are speedballs!
Longshots: Forest Attack, (120) 6/1, Churchill class and speed.
Eagle Storm. (121) CBY monster wins, good jock. WON AT 3.8
Ruby's Red Socks. (121) Toss the AW, see the potential.
Diamond Account (121) toss the AW.
Fearless Anthony (119)
RACE EIGHT THE EMERALD.
Probable winner: Nobody at low odds.
Longshots: Self-Made Man. CD class is obvious, ML ridiculous, 4/1 minimum. WON AT 1
Ohnotheregoestokyo. Loves CBY turf and has best late move.
Por Favor: Off last at CD, but Lanerie can't get trapped on lead.
RACE NINE THE JEWEL
Even at this distance, speed wins.
Probable winner: Nobody at low odds.
Longshots: R. Clear Victory. Best early speed in routes. 5/1
Coyoteshighestcall. Look at the versatility. Wins any route, any surface, any track. 6/1
Won Awesome Dude. Another well traveled guy. 7/1. WON AT 2.8
RACE TEN, THE LADY CANTERBURY.
Probable winner: Tears I Cry (G3 win) or....
Si Si Mon Amie, (rapidly improving) whichever pays better.
Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments
Friday, August 01, 2008
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