Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, April 01, 2016

HORSE RACING, GULFSTREAM, APRIL 2, FLORIDA DERBY DAY

[ ^ means expected tote, and is not intended as an indicator of fair odds.]

$68 bet all, 8 winners, $59.20 return


RACE ONE
(PICK3: 11*5 with 10 with 1*2*3*5*7 $10)
11-ARIPEKA 49 ^5/2 fair $6.80
5- GOLD SHIELD 45 (6/1 ML)
Shug come backer could score.
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8-INDIAN GUIDE 42
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RACE TWO
10-GEH SCHNELL 34 (12/1 ML)
Has been facing better than these
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RACE THREE
Best longshot race on the card.
1-RASTA RANT 42 ^3/1 fair
2-WILDCAT WISH 40 ^7/1 $7.20
3-COALMINER 40 ^4/1 $5.80
5-MACH MY DAY 40 ^11/1
7-JAMIE'S DANCER 39 ^11/1 fair
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RACE FOUR
Pass
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RACE FIVE, SKIPAWAY GRADE 3
Valid's top competitors have no graded races.
Expected tote: 1/2
5-VALID 53 ^1/2 $2.80
Rarely misses at Gulfstream
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1-TEAM COLORS 50 $3.00
Muddy win, layoff, class rise.
6-SAVOY STOMP 46
Wins and steps up in class.
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RACE SIX
(Pick3 9*11*4 with 7*5 with 1*4*8 $18)
9-CONQUEST STORMY 39 ^2/1 fair
Nice debut, time off.
11-GRAND NUENCO 37 ^20/1 fair
Breather after lousy race, sharp works.
4-TITANIUM HEART 37 ^17/1
Good closer, still learning
10-BERLINER 36 ^ 9/5
Could win, but not worth cheap price.

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RACE SEVEN
7-OFF THE TRACKS 46 ^4/5
5-GOMO 44 ^8/1
O'Neil, not the best layoff trainer.
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3-GO MAGGIE GO 42 $10.00
1-PAOLA QUEEN 40 $5.60
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RACE EIGHT
1-ALL INCLUDED 49 ^2/1
4-LONG ON VALUE 49 ^10/1
8-REPORTING STAR 49 ^7/1 $19.00

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7-FORCE THE PASS 47 ^3/2 Bad bet
Layoff, and not even close to being best here.
5-SKY CAPTAIN 47 ^15/1
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RACE NINE
Pass
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RACE TEN
(Pick3 3*5 with 1*4*6 with 4*6*5 $18)
6-ANCHOR DOWN 51 ^2/1
3-GRAND SHORES 50 ^9/1 $9.40
5-DEFER HEAVEN 48 ^2/1
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2-YOURDREAMSORMINE 45
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RACE ELEVEN
(Pick4 1*4*6* with 4*6*5 with 1*4 with 4*9) $36
1-CRISOLLES 48
4-PHOTO CALL 47 $2.00
6-MAXIMOVA 47
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2-CELESTINE 46
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RACE TWELVE, THE HONEY FOX GRADE 2
(Pick3 4*6*5 with 1*4*7 with 4*9 $18)
4-SANDIVA 49 ^8/5
6-LADY LARA 47 ^5/2
5-TAMMY THE TORPEDO 47 ^6/1
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RACE THIRTEEN, THE PAN AMERICAN GRADE 2
1-KAIGUN 49 ^7/2 fair $7.60
4-GRAND TITO 48 ^5/2
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Expect 8/5 odds and very bad bet.
7-WAKE FOREST 45 ^8/5 $4.00
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RACE FOURTEEN, FLORIDA DERBY
3/2 on each obvious horse would be fair.
But there's no way you'll get those odds.
"Never bet the hype horse."
4-NYQUIST 51 $4.40
9-MOHAYMEN 50
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2-FELLOWSHIP 44 ^ 8/1
7-TAKEITOTHEEDGE 44 ^10/1
3-MAJESTO 41 ^25/1 $11.00
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