Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Thursday, March 17, 2016

OAKLAWN PARK, REBEL DAY, MARCH 19, HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING FREE

]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]

Expected (long term) win percentages:
  • Rank 1: 38%
  • Rank 2: 23% 
  • Rank 3: 12% 
  • Rank 4: 8% 
  • Rank 5: 8% 
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]

RACE ONE
8-CLASSIC ARCH 85
Mild drop, gotta score some day
9-SUN TSYZY 85
Obviously fit off last mile
11-SALLY'S NEWS 82
Got braver in last race
3-MAJESTIC MEGAN 78
Big drop may help

RACE TWO
1-WRATH OF RUTHIE 99
4/5 ML, and many questions
WIN 2/5
4-SWING IT DISH 98
Been racing way over her head.
PLACE 8/1
7-NORTHERN CONNECT 96
Meet easier; 20/1 juicy
5-FICTIONALITY 96
Ditto above, at 12/1

RACE THREE
6-LIMONTE 95
Big, hidden class drop
PLACE AT 5/1
8-LOCKER ROOM GUY 91
Assmussen claim and drop

RACE FOUR
11-BRILLIANT BELLE 81
Just missed after stumble start
4-PRETTY GREELY 79
Keeps Calvin, traffic last time
9-SKI TUNE 77
Meh. Long layoff, second race.
10-HEART OF A RANGER 76
Big class jump after just-miss.
PLACE AT 10/1
1-FAIRWAYGREEN 76
Placed debut, class jump now.

RACE FIVE
2-RHETORICAL 103
Sharp connections and win last
6-NOW AND ZEN 96
Tough at Oaklawn
10-SPANISH JAZZ 96
Powerful closer

RACE SIX
10-MY PAL PAUL 106
5/1 ML looks good
9-UNBRIDELD OUTLAW 100
Drop to claimer will help
PLACE AT 5/2

RACE SEVEN, THE AZERI GII
Time for a simple, straight trifecta?
7-UNTAPABLE 123
A monster in here
JUST MISSED AT 2/5
1-CALL PAT 109
The late charger
WIN AT 5/1
5-MESHELL 108
10-for-11 show chance

RACE EIGHT
1X-LOOKS TO SPARE 120
Classy, but questionable after layoff.
2 SMACK SMACK 113
8-for-20 career
6-FAR RIGHT 113
3-for-5 at OP
7-UPSTART 108
Ranks too low to be favored.
WIN AT 5/2

RACE NINE
7-KISS 92
Morning line fave
11-COTTON CLUB CUTIE 88
15/1 ML would be a bargain

RACE TEN (THE REBEL)
The Southwest contenders at it again
12-SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS 110
Won Southwest
8-AMERICAN DUBAI 106
Showed in Southwest at 20/1
10-WHITMORE 106
Placed in Southwest
4-CUPID 101
7/2 too low for maiden winner
WIN AT 5/2

RACE ELEVEN
2-GOATS TOWN 97
PLACE 7/2
5-AMERICAN PIONEER 97
WIN 3/2
10-COLONEL DAN 97
FOURTH 5/1
7-BURNTWOOD 90
SHOW 9/1
$2 EXACTA BOX $9
$2 TRIFECTA $58
$24 SUPER $213

No comments: