Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, May 31, 2013

Belmont, Saturday, June 1, horse race handicapping.




These are fair odds, not morning line odds. 

Saturday, June 01, 2013
Forecast

Partly Sunny
Precip: 10%
High
86°F
Low
65°F
(Post Time: 1:05)Surface: Inner turfGET PPs

1 1/16 Miles | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up |  ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING ( $25,000 ) |  Purse: $62,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3), Daily Double Wagers

This race is too tough to give the #10 anything like 9/5. 

#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Moonlit Sonnet 
5/1  
A. Solis 
Tough jump from maiden win
L. LewisL
22Get Gorgeous 
15/1
L. Saez 
4-back in last similar
W. Badgett, Jr.$25,000L
33Pure Amour 
9/1
J. Velazquez 
New trainer.
G. Weaver$25,000Blk-OffL
44Chloe Bear 
20/1
J. Espinoza 
Probably outclassed
P. KellyL
55Katie Malone 
40/1
R. Maragh 
New trainer
A. QuartaroloL
66Belongs to Dixie 
7/1
J. Alvarado 
2nd from layoff, 30% trainer angle
N. CananiL
77Clever Spirit 
20/1
G. Rodriguez 
Probably outclassed.
R. UbilloL
88Eurokay by Me 
20/1
J. Ortiz 
Underneath, maybe.
S. SchwartzL
99Red Code 
30/1
J. Rosario 
Joel aboard hopeless horse?
J. AntonucciL
1010Heart of New York 
5/2
J. Lezcano 
Obviouisly best, but at what price?
C. BrownL

(Post Time: 2:07)Surface: DirtGET PPs

Bouwerie S.
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies | 3 Year Olds |  STAKES |  Purse: $125,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (3-5), Daily Double Wagers

Watch the crowd pound the #5 down to insane levels. 

#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Carameaway 
20/1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
Has big longshot win
M. FriedmanL
22True Fortune 
20/1
J. Alvarado 
Least likely to succeed.
G. WeaverL
33Kitty Panda 
10/1
J. Rosario 
Maiden win, that's it
C. ClementL
44Kelli Got Frosty 
6/1
C. Velasquez 
Been running against tough gals.
R. RodriguezL
55Lovely Syn 
7/5
J. Castellano 
Monster speed horse, worth low odds
D. SchettinoL
66La Verdad 
3/1
J. Ortiz 
Big false fig from mud win.
L. RiceL

(Post Time: 2:38)Surface: DirtGET PPs

Affirmed Success H.
6 1/2 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up |  STAKES |  Purse: $100,000
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (4-6), Daily Double Wagers

The #6 could surprise at a nice mutuel.

#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Saginaw 
2/1
J. Alvarado 
Knows where the wire is
D. JacobsonL
22Be Bullish 
4/1
C. Velasquez 
Toss the mud, see the potential
D. JacobsonL
33Mine Over Matter 
10/1
J. Rosario 
Big win was on off track.
M. HushionL
44Willy Beamin 
3/1
J. Ortiz 
New trainer, classy wins.
R. RodriguezL
55Fiddlers Afleet 
6/1
J. Castellano 
Has that big Saratoga win
R. RodriguezL
66Flying Zealous 
5/1
L. Saez 
Sharp work, absolutely hates to lose.
P. KazamiasL

(Post Time: 3:09)Surface: DirtGET PPs

Mike Lee S.
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds |  STAKES |  Purse: $125,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (5-7), Pick 6 Races (5-10) Daily Double Wagers

Very contentious chaos race, hard to like anybody at the cheap end of the tote.

#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11West Hills Giant 
3/1
J. Espinoza 
Impressive on dirt, trainer jerks him around.
J. Terranova, IIL
22Amberjack 
8/1
J. Rosario 
Hard to evaluate, going with M/L
M. HushionL
33Bond Vigilante 
15/1
J. Ortiz 
Just that maiden win.
C. BrownL
44Belief System 
6/1
J. Alvarado 
2-for-2 with new master.
R. RodriguezL
55Smooth Bert 
11/1
J. Velazquez 
Not much going for him.
L. GyarmatiL
66Soul House 
20/1
J. Castellano 
Maiden winner, slow starter.
G. WeaverL
77Hay Shares 
5/1
C. Velasquez 
Early speed, undefeated.
L. RiceL
88Run Run Forrest 
25/1
R. Maragh 
Sleeper, 2-for-2 at Big Sandy.
J. AquilinoL
99Weekend Hideaway 
7/2
J. Lezcano 
Sharp work, but layoff still a question.
P. SerpeL

(Post Time: 3:41)Surface: TurfGET PPs

Mount Vernon S.
1 Mile | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up |  STAKES |  Purse: $125,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (6-8), Grand Slam Races (6-9) Daily Double Wagers

Mix that #5 into your exotics, will ya?

#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Dreaming of Cara 
17/1
J. Ortiz 
Makes $ on minor scores in rich races.
M. FriedmanL
22Lady Candidate 
17/1
C. Velasquez 
Only turf race unimpressive.
S. AsmussenL
33Kibosh 
6/1
J. Alvarado 
Good, but not 3/1 as M/L claims.
J. KimmelL
44Princess Mara 
35/1
D. Cohen 
Good form, but ambitiously placed.
D. JacobsonL
55Shakeira 
2/1
R. Maragh 
Hit the board 10 straight times.
C. BrownL
66Schillerette 
35/1
A. Lezcano 
Artie's daughter not in his class, or this one
J. NessL
77Inimitable Romanee 
8/1
J. Rose 
Graham yes, Jeremy no, not on turf.
H. MotionL
88Manero 
35/1
A. Solis 
Peaking with the wire win.
P. SerpeL
99Lady's Lunar Luck 
12/1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
Has a win similar to this, so...
J. KimmelL
1010Yes It's Pink 
6/1
J. Lezcano 
3 straight wins, improving, top connections
C. ClementL
11AEElusive Rumour 
ML: 8-1
R. Maragh 
115 Lbs
T. PletcherL
12AEAdriatic Dream 
ML: 20-1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
110 Lbs
D. DonkL
13MTOErin Enchanted 
ML: 5-2
. unknown jockey 
115 Lbs
R. SchosbergL

(Post Time: 4:13)Surface: DirtGET PPs

Dancing Renee H.
7 Furlongs | State Bred | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up |  STAKES |  Purse: $100,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9) $300K Guaranteed Pick 4 (.50) Races (7-10), Daily Double Wagers
#6 likes to take command in the stretch.
#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Beautiful But Blue 
4/1
J. Lezcano 
Trainer a real question.
T. BushL
22Clear Pasaj 
10/1
J. Ortiz 
But sure does like Belmont.
B. LevineL
33Lady On the Run 
16/1
A. Solis 
Another longshot with nice Belmont wins
J. MorrisonL
44Mischief Maker 
6/1
C. Velasquez 
Wins, but against weak fields.
B. BrownL
55Miss Valentine 
5/1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
Another winner in very small fields.
C. ClementL
66Sunny Desert 
2/1
R. Maragh 
Many impressive races
J. ParisellaL
77Great Gracie Dane 
15/1
J. Alvarado 
New to Asmussen, has won only as favorite
S. AsmussenL

(Post Time: 4:45)Surface: DirtGET PPs

Commentator H.
1 1/16 Miles | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up |  STAKES |  Purse: $150,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (8-10), Daily Double Wagers
Four of these figure, so tote watching advised.
#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Icabad Crane 
4/1
R. Maragh 
Would be a cinch except for long, long layoff
H. MotionL
22Awesome Vision 
3/1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
0-for Belmont, but 8-for-5 lifetime
T. AlbertraniL
33So Scott 
9/1
D. Cohen 
Clunks up for place, show
D. JacobsonL
44Readtheprospectus 
4/1
J. Alvarado 
Five in a row now.
C. BrownL
55Spa City Fever 
5/2
C. Velasquez 
Might never look back.
D. JacobsonL
66Fox Rules 
30/1
P. Rodriguez 
Never say never, but this is close to neverland
M. FerraroL

(Post Time: 5:17)Surface: TurfGET PPs

Kingston S.
1 Mile | State Bred | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up |  STAKES |  Purse: $125,000
Exacta, Trifecta, Super (.10), Daily Double Wagers
This is the most chaotic race on the card.
Minimum playable odds: 4/1
#PPHORSEJOCKEYTRAINERCLAIM $EQUIP.MED.
11Abilio 
8/1
J. Alvarado 
Where's he been lately?
T. AlbertraniL
22King Kreesa 
5/1
I. Ortiz, Jr. 
Turf speed demon. Is that good or bad?
J. EnglehartL
33Kharafa 
9/2
R. Maragh 
Can do it, price the only question.
T. HillsL
44Sneaky Kitten 
10/1
J. Ortiz 
Seems to like second place.
M. MakerL
55Lightning Stone 
50/1
G. Rodriguez 
Just doesn't figure against these.
W. AllynL
66Minnie Punt 
25/1
J. Espinoza 
Maybe new trainer, vacation will help
M. MiceliL
77Majestic Raffy 
18/1
A. Lezcano 
Trainer has pulled off some wacky longshots.
J. AquilinoL
88Street Game 
4/1
A. Solis 
Class of the field, four wins at Belmont
P. SerpeL
99Lubash 
4/1
J. Lezcano 
M/L of 9/5 is outrageously low.
C. ClementL

No comments: