Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, March 08, 2013

TAMPA BAY DOWNS MARCH 9

Race ratings and fair odds on likely favorites
We see four races with solid favorites, and the rest with weak favorites. Solid favorites are those whose fair odds are 2/1 or lower.

Exotics: $26 bet, $39 return

TAM ONE rating 23 (normal)
#3 New Line 3/1 = win 1/1
#2 Country Lyric 3/1 = place 5/1
$2 ex box = $9

TAM TWO rating 31 (mild chaos)
Three horses of equal ability:
#1 It's Me Mom 4/1 (morning line 1/1)
#3 Cheechako 4/1 = place 4/1
#8 Redbud Road 4/1 = show 6/1
$6 tri = 0

TAM THREE rating 37 (chaos)
#2 Drivingmitziandmax 8/1 (morning line 7/2)
#10 Pure Value 5/1
$2 ex box = 0

TAM FOUR rating 35 (chaos)
Too many good horses to bet a cheap favorite here.
#2 Johnny Two by Four 5/1
#3 Burley's Gold 5/1 (morning line 2/1) = win 3/2
#8 Extra Exclusive 5/1
$6 tri box = 0

TAM FIVE rating 15 (chalky)
May be a good race to single.
#8 Noble Tune 8/5 = win 1/2

TAM SIX rating 21 (normal)
#3 Black Belt 3/1
#5 Fleeter 3/1 = show 2/1
$2 ex box = 0

TAM SEVEN 11
MSW pass

TAM EIGHT rating 15 (chalky)
#3 Close Hatches 3/2 (morning line 3/1)

TAM NINE rating 35 (chaos)
The Hillsborough
#3 Mystical Star 4/1 =show 4/1
#5 Forces of Darkness 9/2 = place 7/2
#7 Old Tune 7/1 (morning line 7/2)  = win 3/2
$6 tri box = $30

TAM TEN rating 12 (chalky)
Tampa Bay Derby
#6 Verazano 1/1 (morning line 4/5) = win 2/5
#3 Honorable Dillon 4/1
$2 ex box = 0

TAM ELEVEN rating 16 (chalky)
#6 Al Khali 8/5 = win 4/5

TAM TWELVE rating 20 (normal)
#4 Lethal Combination 5/2 = show 3/2



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