SAMPLE

Keeneland

• Minimum acceptable odds quoted. Underlays should not be played. Over time, winners' prices will be higher in races marked "longshots."
• Horses not priced are considered non-contenders at any odds.
• Off-the-turf races are automatic no-bets.
• Some maiden races cannot be profitably played with this method, and they will be passed.
• Odds may vary greatly from the morning line.
• Generally, the combinations and permutations of pick-type races are too complex for detailed analysis. In order to succeed, players will have to "handicap out" some of the selections in order to keep the ticket price reasonable. The ratings of A, B and C are meant to help pick players.

Win at or above target odds.  

Win below target odds.

KEE 1- (chalky)

1-  4/1 B 3.30

3-  6/1 C 4.90

*6- 1/1 A 1.00 win

KEE 2- Pass

KEE 3- (chalky)

*1- 8/5 A  2.00 win

*4- 3/1 A 8.00

5-   8/1 C 2.80

6-   8/1 C 7.10

KEE 4- (Normal)

1- 4/1 B 3.10

4- 5/1 B 3.40 win

5- 5/1 B 4.50 place

*7- 3/1 A 4.40 show

*9- 7/1 C 7.40 super

$20 exacta paid $18

$60 trifecta paid $69

KEE 5- (Longshot)

No horse in here should carry chalky odds. A mix of "B" and "C" horses... 

*3- 8/1 C 26.10

*4- 6/1 B 13.90

6- 9/2 B 1.70 win

7- 9/2 B 3.10 place

*9- 7/1 C 9.90

$20 exacta paid $9
... The overbetting on the #6 caused overlays on the #3, #4 and #9. But the chalk players collected this time.

KEE 6- Pass

KEE 7- (Normal)

Lots of possibilities with lightly raced horses... 

*2-  5/1 B 6.70

*4-  8/1 C 17.20 place

6-   8/1 C 3.40

8-   8/1 C 6.20 win

10-  9/2  B 3.10 super

*11- 8/1 C 8.80 show

$30 exacta paid $98

$120 trifecta paid $893

$36 dime super paid $450
... The drastic overlay, #4, finished 2nd and boosted the exacta.

KEE 8- (chalky)

Lots of improbable horses, and only four worth considering. Looks like cheap trifecta territory....

*2- 3/1  A 4.70

3- 5/1 B 1.60

*5-8/1 C 12.50 place

*9- 9/5 A 2.60 win

$12 exacta paid $37
... but we missed the tri. The crowd bit on the bizarre speed figure posted by #3 in her last race. She went off at 3/2 and ran like an 8/1. Horses coming off a career best race far better than any on the record will most often "bounce." Leaving her out of the exacta would have given $37 for a $6 box

KEE 9 The Raven Run  (longshot)

No chalky horses need apply. The best one here is 4/1...

*6-  7/1 C 18.00

10-  7/1 C 3.50

11-  4/1 B 1.20 win

*12- 7/1 C 73.00

*14- 8/1 C 12.30 place

$20 exacta paid $20.

...The chalk eaters got their reward here, but someday soon in a race like this they will choke on the dust of an extreme longshot. Monono, the #12 at a ridiculous 73/1, was forcing the pace until pinched back when she started her move in the upper stretch.

KEE 10 (longshot)

A great many horses at the same talent level. No horse should be under 7/1...

1-   7/1 C 6.00

*3-  8/1 C 21.00 place

7-    7/1 C 6.00

8-   7/1 C  5.60 win

9-  7/1 C 4.00 super

12-  7/1 C 4.60 show

$30 exacta paid $92

$120 trifecta paid $648

$36 dime super paid $319
...The crowd made #9 the favorite at 4/1. The one they radically mispriced, the #3, finished second and triggered very nice payoffs down the exata-tri-super chain.