FAIRGROUNDS, AQU DECEMBER 4

• The horse's program number is followed by a dash and then a point score.
• Only contenders are listed. Horses not appearing here are bad bets.
• Horses below may be bet at minimum odds of 3:1.
• Exception: Horses not in the top three in the race should be bet only if they pay 8-1 mimimum.
• Horses under 3-1 should not be bet, period.
• First time starters are not rated, and the results in races that include them will not be as reliable as other races.
• This method is known to pick the winners in 2 of every 3 races.

Who is the best horse at New Orleans today?

By combination of class and speed, it would probably be

Amazing Results, #6 in the 7th race.

In a grade-3 win at Hawthorne in October, he came from

way back to win in a sparkling time at almost 12-1.

FAIRGROUNDS

FG ONE:

3- 25 Made a nice move last time against better. 5.00

4- 24 Layoff, and good in last true dirt race. 1.20.

5- 24 Bad form, probably will be overbet. 5.50

6- 24 Second after layoff, stretching out. 4.20

Down $600

FG TWO

What to do with a 38-1 contender?

Simple box with the fave.

And then he drops to 7:1!

4- 24 Three earnest tries now. 1:5

7- 23 Drops for new trainer. 38-1. Drops 17-1. Then 7-1. 7.70

Beware of first timers.

Down $8oo

FG THREE

8- 22 Nine months off, so need some odds. 7.70

4- 21 Toss the dirt race to see a better effort. 9.80

5- 20 Layoff and new trainer. 2.80

9- 20 Highest speed figure at the distance. 5.90

Down $1400

FG FOUR

4 -31 Toss the poly races to see a dirt monster. 3.00

5 -31 First after layoff, toss that turf to see better race. 2.20

3-28 Toss that last junker to see a good race. 20.20

Down $1200

FG FIVE

1 - 35 Won last and highest speed figure at distance. 3.40

8- 35 A 2-1 horse based on her career record. 3.50

3- 34 Hated Kentucky poly, but 2-for-2 in New Orleans. 1.10

Down $1400

FG RACE 6

7- 27 Huge drop. 0.90

3- 23 Don't hold one race against a horse. 12.10

12- 22 Layoff after a just-miss. 5.70

Down $1800

FG RACE 7

A ridiculously competitive race.

Since any of these 7 could easily win,

holding out for 6-1 minimum seems right.

6- 38 4.70

4- 37 6.50

7- 37 4.00

1- 36 1.00

2- 36 20.40

Down $700

RACE 8

12 -31 Absolutely the best, but layoff a question. 6.70

2- 29 Super sharp in last two. 2.10

3- 29 Five wins in last ten.11.30

Down $1100

FG RACE 9

4- 35 Has some nice turf wins. 6.50

11- 34 Nice try in a classy spa race. 9.30

12- 34 Layoff, obvious talent. 6.50

13- 34? Tough runner, but first turf is the question. 16.50

Down $1900

FG RACE 10

A competitive field. Beyond the top three, demand longshot odds.

1- 29 A stalker who can bull through. 6.40

2- 29 Layoff gives new trainer a chance. 6.50

3- 29 Layoff for this stretch runner. 6.10

7- 28 Speed demon switches to top jockey. $2.00

8 -28 Don't be fooled by "negative" jockey switch. 4.40

4- 27 Third from layoff and needs huge odds for a play. 51.10

5- 27 Second from layoff and ditto. 14.90

11- 27 Awesome winner, but long vacation, few works. 7.40

Down $2500

RACE 11

6- 21 Laid off, dropped. 8.00

9- 19 Lightly raced and lots of potential. 1.40

7- 19 Zero for 21 so need giant odds. 8.20

Down $2700

AQUEDUCT

AQU ONE

(off the turf)

All preferred runners scratched.

TWO

More than half firsters.

THREE

1-32 Bad start 1.05

3-31 2nd/layoff 7.30

4-30 Nice drop WIN 17:1

7-30 New trainer 16.30

Win $3600. Bet $6oo. Profit $3000

Up $300.

AQU FOUR

Really hard to tell since some ratings

are based on only one race. But see no

big crowd mistake here.

So this system not great with horses

coming off first race.

1-29 Toss first race 3:1

9-28 Early speed, cutback. 5:2

5-25 Layoff, unproven trainer 13:1

6-25 Reproduction. Speed in first race. 7:5 WIN 1.60

AQU FIVE

Off the turf.

10-25 Tough running line. 2.80

7-24 Dominguez turf. 2.20

8-24? 8:1 turf breeding. 10.70

Up $100

AQU SIX

5-38 But 9 months off. 3.60

6-38 Good layoff. 1.90

9-35 Ditto. $10.40

Down $100

AQU SEVEN

10-36 Don't believe that ML 19.70

3-35 Needed layoff. 8.20

9-34 New trainer. 6.90

8-34 Won last. 1.80

Down $700

AQU EIGHT

3-41 Welcome back, mom. 1.85

1-35 A 40% winner. 4.60

2-35 Toss hcp to big win. 1.60

Down $900

AQU NINE

3-31 2nd/layoff. 2.55

6-28 Place, win. 3.25

2-27 Gigantic drop 9.00

7-27 Improving, drop 57.25

Down $1500