Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Thursday, February 05, 2009

CAPS AND STAKES, FEB 7


AQU8, THE WHIRAWAY
The bias goes to the outside post here, and the big fella draws the rail. It probably won't matter. Only two horses have won off hot paces...

142.3 Haynesfield little to beat here.
135.8 Peace Town the only logical threat.

Running to fill out the tri...
130.6 Mike From Queens
125.2 Cellar Dweller
122.5 Hehasnosay
114.5 Zooger

GULFSTEAM 9, THE TALLAHASSEE, TURF
121 Jet Propulsion, 89 late pace. Elvis 18% grass. Won off 115 pace.
122 Smooth Air, 93 late pace. Jock is weak on grass. Only turf win was cheap pace.
120 Fearless Eagle beat a length by hard pace in brilliant last.
119 Vanquisher won last two, Garcia 18% grass.
119 Pickapocket Kent 17% on grass capable.
119 Frisco Star won last, not impossible.
119 Ruff And Ready 5 losses in a row. Eibar 17% grass.
119 Dynhocracy place last behind Smooth Air. Not out of the question.
117 Formal King Jose 17% grass. One brilliant turf race. Dutrow.
118 Roman Tiger 4 months off.
117 St. Joe 0/2 turf, 7% trainer on returns.
117 Wicked Style 0/2 grass, 6 months off.
116 Big Al life 1/10

FAIR GROUNDS
4- Pan Zareta sprint

120 Classify with Shaun 18%. Won last. Worth a shot. Win pace 100.
119 Precious Kiss, beat a 92 pace, sharp works, Jacinto 17%
117 P. S. U. Grad, beat an 88 pace.
115 Shilla, awful last, no shot.

5- COLONEL POWER TURF SPRINT
121 Storm Treasure, furious late pace (107) to win last
121 Chamberlain Bridge, awesome competitor in these. Beats 112 pace.
119 Rouse The Cat can win this with gate spd, jock a question.
117 Acting Zippy won last like this. Pace 99.
118 Grand Traverse, placed in only similar race, pace 93.
117John's Road, 0/2 in these, never closer than 5 lengths.
116 Break New Ground won last, faces giant class gap.
xxx Sok Sok MTO

6- THE MINESHAFT
The race plays to later pace...

123 Honest Man, almost 30%TJ. pace 113
123 My Pal Charlie, toss California race, pace 110
121 Grasshopper, off, TJ angles both 21%, pace 103, tends to place, likes FG.
121 Secret Getaway, place last, 19%tr, 100 pace.
120 Brothers Nicholas, new trainer, pace 101, Prado 17%, watch out if long odds. Place play?
121 Good And Lucky, 19%tr, won last, 102 pace.
119 Smokeyjonessutton, 2/26 life
118 Coragil Cat 4 straight bad.

7- FAIRGROUNDS HANDICAP, 9F TURF.
Plays to late speed. Scan the top 5 for good odds.
122 French Beret late pace 102, better at FG, tends to place and show.
122 Demarcation, 98 late pace, would be no surprise.
121 Windward Islands, 115 late pace, a slow starter.
121 Jimmy Simms, won last, Asmussen 21%, 98 late pace.
120 Corrupt, 103 late pace, Robbie 16%, off but 21% return.
119 Diamond Tycoon, two wins in a row, Julien 18%, late pace 120 after slow slow fracs.
120 Sidcup, 102 late pace, tends to place and show, always trails.
118 My Happiness, 8 bad ones.

8- SILVERBULLET DAY FILLY ROUTE...
118.7 Four Gifts, Robbie & Steve, bad luck last. 96
117.1 Southern Yankee, Saez 28% with e/p types. won last. Improving. 93
118.5 Just Jenda 25% TJ. Stalker who hates to lose. 94.
117.2 War Echo 90. Unproven above maiden.
116.9 War Tigress 93, first dirt race.
114.5 Flying Spur big maiden win but in slop.
113.7 More Of The Best, no chance, even though won last.
113.2 Garter Belt doesn't belong here.

9- THE RISEN STAR.
118.8 Friesan Fire, high JT, 97, won last, wins hot pace and cold.
117.7 Flying Pegasus, Robbie's choice. 96. 6/1 ML would be generous.
118.0 Uno Mas, Asmussen, but dull last. Not at short price.

116.7 It Happened Again, 96, big JT, don't be surprised.
116.4 Indygo Mountain, bad break last, could be sharp.
116.3 Nowhere To Hide, not ready, Zito 9% in graded stakes.
116.7 Soul Warrior, not even the trainer believes in this one.
116.0 Summer's Empire never won a tough race. 94. 3 wins in a row.
115.0 Au Moon 92. Not totally out of the question, but unlikely.
115.8 Giant Oak, place last, 95, with Edgar, a shot, I suppose, on lucky day.
115.2 Map Of The World, no shot.
114.7 Code Of Honour. Beat chumps.
114.5 Dumar, nope. Beat chumps.

SANTA ANITA 6TH, LAS VIRGENES S..
120.8 Stardom Bound, won last 3, 2/2 at SA, 19%T, 100
118.5 Pinkarella won last, 90 at first race, never routed, bad post.
117.9 Saucey Evening, won last, 98, 21%JT
116.6 Navigator, 2/3, won last.
116.3 Toro Bonito, bad last, 18%JT
115.7 African Skies, first lasix, snakey trainer.
115.6 Haka, place last, 22%JT
115.0 Century Park, won last 18%T, enjoys rail, speed bias.
113.5 Nan, showed last, 17%T

Stardom Bound, Saucey Evening exacta
Century Park and Pinkarella underneath that.


SANTA ANITA 7TH, THUNDER ROAD TURF
120.9 Monterey Jazz,102, placed last, 3/6 turf
120.2 Becrux, 101,
120.1 Ferneley, 100, just missed, tough field. Target odds 5/1.
119.1 Dilemma, 99, 23%J
119.8 Global Hunter, 103, won last, bad JT, should be bet at <4/1 
118.4 Matto Mondo, 98, won last, tough race. 118.8 Yankee Bravo, 96, awful last, 8 months off. 116.3 Shore Do, 93, 9 months off, 17%JT 115.9 Monba, 97, 18%JT, first grass, last was Derby. None of the first six would be a surprise. Therefore, 5-1 target odds. 
SANTA ANITA 8TH, ROBERT B. LEWIS Not the fastest group of 3-year-olds ever assembled. 117.9 Pioneerof The Nile, 98, win last, 18% JT 116.5 I Want Revenge, 91, just missed behind Pioneer. 115.6 Oil Man, 86, rallied stretch. 116.3 Bittel Road 96, 18% JT, dull. 116.5 Charlie's Moment, 95, show last, outside post. 115.3 Brother Keith, 86, rank last. 115.2 Shafted, 88 16%JT, bad post. 114.6 Mark S The Cooler, 86, won maiden, 113.4 Papa Clem, 89, 17%JT, maiden win. Papa Clem will lead in slow fractions then fade. Pioneer and I Want Revenge blow by.
 OAKLAWN 9, THE ESSEX. 122.0 Golden Yank, 100, 18%JT, place last, 3 straight good. 118.7 Solar Flare, 96, 19%JT, toss to October win against weak. Inside speed. Bet>4/1.
118.9 Encaustic, 103, 17% JT off after 2 bad, loves to place.
119.9 Telling, 99, 3/3 OP, sharp... outside post.
119.1 Que Paso, 101, won last, off.
119.8 Prom Shoes, 99, toss to place, comes from behind. 2/7 OP
117.1 Spotsgone, 94, show. 4/13 OP
118.2 Going Ballistic, 92, 18%JT... 0/5 OP, dull, zero for last 7.

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