Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Thursday, November 27, 2008

CD NOV 29

ONE: 2YO FILLIES, A MILE
113.6 Passion Du Coeur 93/115 Brilliant 2nd race, should breeze, but trainer not exactly brilliant at first route.
114.4 Emma Darling 85/115 $11.80
114.3 Oculuna 85/114
113.6 A. P. Elegance 84/115
112.8 Clear Cut 78/114
112.3 Champ Laila 80/113

THREE: Allowance sprint, 2yo.
Three standouts: Bias mid post, off-pace.
General Quarters and Turfiste will set a hot pace.
Turfiste is much more likely to have stretch run GQ will fade.
I'm It Wayne is the best stretcher.
(2) 113.7 Myroslaw 91/115 trainer, jockey form okay; post sucks.
(3) 114.9 Turfiste 90/114. Seems to like the distance.
(6) 113.4 I'm it Wayne. 86/113. Catalano's easy HAW winner will improve, maybe a lot.
115.2 General Quarters 82/115. Toss turf to good race.
114.8 Silver City 81/116. Just won maiden, trainer-jockey. $17.00
114.5 Special Heart 81/115. Just won maiden, first time on real dirt.

FIVE: GRAND CANYON TURF ROUTE.
114.5 Rockin' Joe 87/117. Never finished worse than half length out. Good trainer. Enjoys the bias.
115.2 Ninth Client 86/115. Lucas horse great (89/116) in G3, but toss last at BC? Yes, I would because he got a poor start in that one, and a great start in every other race. Against the bias.
114.1 Jack Spratt 84/114. Just won maiden, by a nose. Trainer, jock a plus.
113.3 Chilliness 84/115. In a funk. Won maiden, allowance, bad elsewhere.
115.0 Proceed Bee 83/114. First turf, first route. Breeding says 6-1. ML says 15-1.
$44.00
113.0 South Fork Lodge 76/113. Maiden win, jock, trainer good.
112.9 Charlie Trumper (ae) 76/113. Can Mott turn around awful debut?
112.8 Presents For Berti 80/112. And Calvin doesn't ride the turf well. Big stretch run, tho.

SIX: FILLY SPRINT ALLOWANCE, 2YO
Four contenders. Bias favors late pace.
117.3 Selective 92/117. Nice Pocahantas. Jockey, trainer. Cutback may help.
116.7 Best Lass 97/118 in last CD dirt race. Off. Jockey-trainer. Slow out of gate.
116.4 Pretty Prolific 87.116. Sprint may help, exhausted by route. Enjoys pace bias.
116.1 Glacken Queen 83/117. Jockey, trainer, win last, no bad calls, ever.

EIGHT: MILE ALLOWANCE, 2YO
115.5 Phosphorescent 93/115 jockey, trainer, place last. Always tough at CD. First route.
115.0 Gresham S/D 87/116. Didn't like last CD route. $8.80
114.6 No Inflation S/D 88/116. First at CD. Won 9f on poly. Trainer, jockey.
114.2 Melo 87/114. Trainer, jockey. Won muddy maiden. This is 2nd race, may improve.

NINE: GOLDEN ROD G2, ROUTE.
The tote should tell the tale...
119.3 Dream Empress 98/121 BC placer. First real dirt. Excels at distance.
118.1 Sara Louise 101/121. Pocahantas winner. Albarado. Win at CD, going away.
117.9 Rachel Alexandra 96/118. Pocahantas placer. Good at CD. $8.20
----- War Echo, not out of the question at 8/1. Jockey, trainer, may be sneaky improvement.

TEN: CARESSING TURF HANDICAP.
Sugar Mom.

ELEVEN: Ky Jockey Club G2
Bias plays to post 1-7, and off the pace.
Stormalory should lead 'em out, but soon be overtaken.
118.1 Capt. Candyman Can 97/120 Jockey, trainer angle, win last, but bad post.
117.8 Beethoven 90/118, jockey, trainer, won last. Spd/dist. Late kick.
116.5 Star Of David 92/118 Good trainer, okay last, bad post. Late kick.
116.0 Zion 85/115. Trainer... runs better at CD than elsewhere.
115.9 Jazzandthemagician 88/116. Only has maiden win, never routed.

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