1: Maiden chaos. Mimimum 4-1.
1-Backstroke. Rail trip, rail winning at 20%
3-Tripped the Light. Might appear if pace melts.
6-California Demon. Ditto.
7-Afternoon Gold. 22% trainer angle, sprint to route.
High probability that pace leaders will tire.
Best bet: Wrap these four up on exacta, tri, super.
COMPLETE ZERO.
2: Need 2-1 on 2-Starry Pursuit. Otherwise, 1-Mini Do at 3:1 or better.
MINI SCRATCHED, STARRY PAID A MAGNICENT $2.80
3: Longshot race, need 4-1
3-Within Reason. Obviously in form, but not dominant.
4-Taxi Fleet. Jerry brings 'em back ready, nice work, good longshot.
5-Tall Texan. Another tough guy off a layoff. PAID 10.40
6-Secret Shuttle. Tough, but vulnerable after layoff.
I don't think there's any separating these, so will watch for tote neglect.
4: Courtly Courture but minimum 3-2. Good enough to single.
FINISHED 4TH AT 5/2.
5: Zenyatta, but only in exotics. Expect 2-5. Foxy Soxx to place may be a better bet at 8-1. The unratable Kris' Sis will ensure a fast pace, fade. PAID 2.60
6: 8-Scout About, 2-1. PAID 5.40
7: Longshot race, I'll work the tote, bet more than one. Mimimum 5-1. I realize I'm picking five horses here but that's how I see the race, chaos, and any favorite I judge to be a false favorite.
3-Mama Lula. Not great in last against weaker field. Would demand 6-1 or more.
5-Newport Topper. Whopper longshot, but on best day, perfect trip could nose this bunch out.
7-Whatsitgonnatake. Blazing workouts. Worth it if he slips to 10-1 or more.
PAID $16.00, $45.00 FOR $5 PICK 3
1-Categorize. Absolutely kicked ass at 25-1 last.
4-Dine at Nine. Give him a mercy toss of that last route, and you have a contenter at 15-1.
NO THANKS: 6-All Set. Horses that place last and get 4-1 today are usually good bets. But this guy refuses to be rated, spurts out of the gate, and fades. He needs to run 5F somewhere.
8: Easy! Heatseaker or Tiago, who ever offers better odds. Heatseaker has the figs, Tiago has wins at distance. I expect Surf Cat and Albertus Maximus to set the pace and the other guys to pass 'em in the turn and duel to the wire. HEATSEAKER AT 1/1.
9: Another chaos race, minimum 6-1.
Whoever the favorite, I'd bet against him.
13-Common Trust. May be favorite, but I see at 6-1. Claimed from Mullins by lesser trainer.
3-World War. Trainer, jockey, drop all positive, but doesn't love to win, s0 6-1.
2-Forest Danz. Reasonable longshot. Place, then layoff, easy works.
11-Indian Weaver. Don't be surprised if he shows up in the tri at 20-1.
4-Catoutofthebag. Kicked HOL ass once at giant price. Listed at 10-1, but trainer brings 'em back at more like 5-1.
10-Shootist. I'd take the ML 12-1. Smith could not choke him back last time. I'm tossing that freak race. Back to the dirt, he's a reasonable shot.
NOTHING DOING.
Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments
Friday, May 30, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment