Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, April 04, 2008

OAKLAWN APRIL 5

1: Claimer
7-Fire Wheel.

2: Maiden Claimer
8- Royal Destiny

3: Claimer
6 Rubialedo

4: Claimer
1- Dudok.

5: Claimer, speed bias.
5- Mama's Lil Mon

6- Optional Claimer 2L
6- Wolf Branch.

7- Allowance 2L
8- Mister Fusaichi.

8- APPLE BLOSSOM
The bias is speed on the rail and that happens to describe the overwhelming talent in the race, 1-Ginger Punch (123) listed at even money and sure to go off at 3/5 or lower.
Only makes sense as part of a multi, and a $20 pick-4 starts here.
If Ginger Punch loses, (probably a 30% chance) then the P-4 is a whopper.
4-Kettleoneup and
6-Zenyatta are both plan B.

9- Maiden.
9-Grand Sensation (115) is the no-brainer, returning to a sprint after 3 places.
3-The Wrecker (114) claimed and improved, and the 12-1 ML would be juicy indeed.

10- THE OAKLAWN
Any of 5 have a real chance. All the horses are strangers to Hot Springs.
4-Heatseaker (125) His last fig was set in a 10-furlong race that was furious early. Don't know how much I'd bank on that number. But no doubt he's a contender.
2-Tiago (122) Lousy trip last. Same race as Heatseaker. This is his distance.
3-Fairbanks (122) Needs a break to win. Probably 3-1 absolute minimum.
5-Circular Quay (124) Toss the wrong surface, wrong distance races and you'll see why he's a top contender.
7-Silver Lord. Catostraphic start last obscures a real contender. His win 3-back would take this race.

11- Claimer
3- Miss McFleet (111) took her 19 races to win her maiden, though.
7- Halo Victory. (111) a closer who needs a pace scenario.
5-Gray Expectations (109) Considering the company, a maybe, with speed bias.

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