1: Maiden Longshot flyer.
7-Monogram ... 10/1. Based on breeding .... Mineshaft... AP Indy.
Pace: Premium Gold is the suicide horse.
2: Claimer
1-Lil Tree (117) 6-for16, what do you want from a claimer. 1-for-1 at Kee.
2-Smalltown Slew. I don't believe in betting dropped horses who were way out of their last race. The angle here, though, is new trainer Amoss, at 30%. He's a closer, though...
8-Cab (116) Not impossible, given race 2-back, but 1-for-21 since 2006.
5-Bobby Jack (116) Nice last in W.Va. slop in layoff return. Worthy at 6/1 ML.
Pace: Lil Tree could wire 'em.
3: Turf 1X The Good Luck Scramble, longshot special.
6-Loh Collado (116) ... Brisnet gives a whopping 12 point prime advantage. Translation: Even money. But I am not a believer.
Why not....
4-Dragum (116)
8-Remoulade (115)
9-Miss Buffaleen. (115)
or ultra longshot: 1- Rustic Flame, really 10-1, listed at 20-1, extreme rail bias.
Pace: Park at Dark, lead and fade
4: Maiden longshots
7-Evade.
11-Hollywoodland
Pace: Probably very slow, giving Flumes and Righteous Tiger a shot at big frontrunning scores.
5: Filly Allowance 2x (Pick 6)
6-Meredith Bee.
Pace: Thumbin A Ride has a shot at wiring this race, but will probably suicide duel Dhanyata.
6: Optional Claimer, ridiculous conditions
5- Rondo. One of those horses that slips in via conditions. Nice KEE works.
Should be a 4-way pace battle, with the others falling back.
7: Allowance 2L (Pick-4)
6-Lady on Holiday (117) Can handle KEE. Got trainer, jock. Shoulda won last, and that's a concern.
7-Gloriously (116) 2nd race, and could improve. Worked well once over KEE. Longshot.
1-Latest Scoop (115)... Maiden win, then sputtered. Layoff with 10% angle.
2-Spoken (118) Monster Chicago maiden winner. 8 months off. Ultrasharp KEE work.
Pace: Gloriously will kill herself getting upfront, then fade.
8: TURF ALLOWANCE, 9F (Pick-3)
7-Monogram ... 10/1. Based on breeding .... Mineshaft... AP Indy.
Pace: Premium Gold is the suicide horse.
2: Claimer
1-Lil Tree (117) 6-for16, what do you want from a claimer. 1-for-1 at Kee.
2-Smalltown Slew. I don't believe in betting dropped horses who were way out of their last race. The angle here, though, is new trainer Amoss, at 30%. He's a closer, though...
8-Cab (116) Not impossible, given race 2-back, but 1-for-21 since 2006.
5-Bobby Jack (116) Nice last in W.Va. slop in layoff return. Worthy at 6/1 ML.
Pace: Lil Tree could wire 'em.
3: Turf 1X The Good Luck Scramble, longshot special.
6-Loh Collado (116) ... Brisnet gives a whopping 12 point prime advantage. Translation: Even money. But I am not a believer.
Why not....
4-Dragum (116)
8-Remoulade (115)
9-Miss Buffaleen. (115)
or ultra longshot: 1- Rustic Flame, really 10-1, listed at 20-1, extreme rail bias.
Pace: Park at Dark, lead and fade
4: Maiden longshots
7-Evade.
11-Hollywoodland
Pace: Probably very slow, giving Flumes and Righteous Tiger a shot at big frontrunning scores.
5: Filly Allowance 2x (Pick 6)
6-Meredith Bee.
Pace: Thumbin A Ride has a shot at wiring this race, but will probably suicide duel Dhanyata.
6: Optional Claimer, ridiculous conditions
5- Rondo. One of those horses that slips in via conditions. Nice KEE works.
Should be a 4-way pace battle, with the others falling back.
7: Allowance 2L (Pick-4)
6-Lady on Holiday (117) Can handle KEE. Got trainer, jock. Shoulda won last, and that's a concern.
7-Gloriously (116) 2nd race, and could improve. Worked well once over KEE. Longshot.
1-Latest Scoop (115)... Maiden win, then sputtered. Layoff with 10% angle.
2-Spoken (118) Monster Chicago maiden winner. 8 months off. Ultrasharp KEE work.
Pace: Gloriously will kill herself getting upfront, then fade.
8: TURF ALLOWANCE, 9F (Pick-3)
1-Embossed (118) ... Been overmatched in G1s and has had a tosser race on poly. Wins have been on soft wet grass, unlikely today.
6- Minister's Joy (121) Could bull through from behind.
7- National Captain (120) Seems likely to at least hit the board.
9- Palace Episode (119) Chance. Small chance, but a chance.
3-Salinja (120) Likes to place.
Pace: Typical turf. Salijna up front with a small chance to pull it off.
Pace: Typical turf. Salijna up front with a small chance to pull it off.
9: ASHLAND STAKES
Probably a two horse race. Real odds would be 2-1 on each:
5-Proud Spell (122) Question is, how will she like Keeneland surface.
4- Bsharpsonata (123) If 5/1 as ML predicts, no question she is the choice.
6- Country Star... Even though she has a win here, 9/5 seems ludicrously low for a horse who has never been in a really high-voltage race. Every pace she's ever faced would be dawdling by what she'll see today.
1- Absolutely Cindy... does have the post advantage, but nowhere near the class. Her last win was a blast through a pace meltdown, and would qualify her for a win here, on the best and luckiest day of her life. BUT not out of the question since she has a win at TP, and at the distance.
Pace: Bsharpsonata is going to push Proud Spell. It may be faster than the proud girl wants to go...
10- Turf Allowance. Longshot race.
1-Le Dauphin (116)... Desormeaux helps, but 0/8 on the grass.
13- Senor Enrico (117)... Has been facing tough ones, could surprise at a giant price.
8- Holiday Trip (119) Loves to finish 2nd. Robbie is not world's greatest turf jock.
4-Warn (116) Trainer and jockey a mystery.
Pace: Le Dauphin pushes the leader and roars past.
Pace: Bsharpsonata is going to push Proud Spell. It may be faster than the proud girl wants to go...
10- Turf Allowance. Longshot race.
1-Le Dauphin (116)... Desormeaux helps, but 0/8 on the grass.
13- Senor Enrico (117)... Has been facing tough ones, could surprise at a giant price.
8- Holiday Trip (119) Loves to finish 2nd. Robbie is not world's greatest turf jock.
4-Warn (116) Trainer and jockey a mystery.
Pace: Le Dauphin pushes the leader and roars past.
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