Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, April 25, 2008

AQUEDUCT APRIL 26

1st: Daddy Joe-Wolf Trap box.
Wolf Trap won last, has never raced this low.
Daddy Joe, inside speed, toss muddy last. Levine a big plus.

2nd: Excess Capital.
Works, speed figs, form, grandson of Forty Niner. Worth even money.

3rd: THE WITHERS. Only four in the gate, so safe to say, no superfecta wagering.
J Be K the obvious choice. But Harlem Rocker is the play if the favorite goes to a ridiculous price, which is likely. Harlem's allowance win was a monster, and it's not his fault he wasn't in a graded race.

4th: Road Not Traveled 10/1.
The pace will have to melt, but this is a mile race. No way is this horse 5 times worse than the favorite.

5th: State bred maiden claimers on the turf.
Glorious America. Contessa the only competent trainer in here.

6th: Super: Building New Era, Ty's Ridge, Raynick's Fan, Ide Rejoice.

7th: Brecciate. Last race pretty convincing after stumble start.
Longshot: New York Style 12/1. Steadied in last, trainer 25% 2nd race after layoff.

8th: At least five of these could win at this freak distance.
Longshots: Regal Playtime. 8/1. Toss turf.
Swept the Series, 4/1, bumpy trip.

9th: THE BEAUGAY
Obviously, Criminologist, and just as obviously, 3/5.
But Factual Contender 4/1 is the horse if Criminologist falters. Trainer Barclay Tagg is a 3/1 shot in any graded stakes, and Factual's last was good enough to win this.

10th: Always go for a longshot in the last race.
Vladimira 10/1. Definitely improving and lost last by a photo. First on grass but has the breeding.

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