Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Thursday, October 04, 2007

KEENELAND OCTOBER 6

$24 BET
$0 RETURNED


1: Hot Chalk: Banner Day. Probably will be 3/2 or less. PLACED

2: Longshot Gareyoukidding 12/1, has best record by far at KEE. MIDPACK
Devereux 118@93+
Georgetown 117@84
Gareyoukidding 116@88+ (placed, showed on poly, 89)
D.C Eight 116@83 (showed on poly,78)
Ben and the Twin 116@83
Gentleman James 115@88+ (won on poly, 88)
Abidon 114@83

3: Hot Chalk: Loconia. EARLY FADE


4: Hot Chalk: King's Silver Son. PLACED


5: Thoroughbred Club Grade III This race plays to speed, and among the classy horses,
Any of these 3 could easily win... chaos race so we have a tote play.
Lady Balsara is the quick one, 4/7 on poly @98
The Baroness is obviously the chalk, won her maiden at KEE at 94 on a hand ride.
Wild Games 100 in poly sprint.
Sugar Swirl 119@103, nothing on poly.
Hot Storm 119@97 will outrun odds of 15/1.
Rich Fantasy 118@98

WILD GAMS WON

6: Phoenix Grade 3, another chaos race. Six of 11 have early speed, and the speed bias is mild. I look for Connections, of unproven class, a course-horse at 4-1.
Connections 3/4 poly 120@104 RAN TOUGH AT 5/1
Off Duty 1/2 poly 120@101 (10/1)
Indian Chant, 2/3 poly 120@98
Teuflesberg 1/2 120@97
He Loves Me Not 3/6 117@94 poly
Museeb 1/4 119@96 poly


7: First Lady Grade2. Hot Chalk: Lady of Venice, has won off layoff twice in a row, by far the best late turf speed, 2/2 at KEE. NEVER REALLY RAN


8: Lane's End. If they dare send Mikimoto's Mojo off at the m/l of 20/1, plunge.
Who knows how this horse will take to poly, but 20-1 is ridiculous for a horse of this quality. Referee is the best proven poly horse.
DEAD LAST

9: Shadwell Turf Mile Grade 1. In no particular order (i.e. trifecta box) Cosmonaut, Shakis and Astronomer Royal.
TD Vance 120@96
Art Master 120@98
Astronomer Royal 122@Euro
Independent George 120@95
Cosmonaut 122@101
Shakis 122@101

2 OUT OF 3

10: After all that, an allowance.
Marquee Delivery 118@92
Aspiring 118@93
Looks like a late exacta, nobody else is close.

MARQUEE WON, ASPIRING QUIT.

No comments: