Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, April 22, 2016

AQUEDUCT APRIL 23

1ST AQU APR 23     STATE-BRED
6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 40,000-ALL PURSE $41,000 (44 )
>>>Nothing special from the 3 virgins so, not much of a betting race.
#6 may be the bargain, with a strong layoff trainer. Watch the board.
Always watch the board.
  4  FLEETING GOLD                 15  =2/1
  5  EXCLUDED                           12  =5/2
  6  IN CONDITION                     10  =7/2 Might wire 'em. Did at 8/5
  1  SUMMER BOURBON           FTS
  2  DILLON STRUCT GOLD      FTS      
  3  RED HOOK EXPRESS          FTS        
    
2ND AQU APR 23     
1 MILE DIRT   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 20,000-ALL PURSE $40,000 (24 )
>>> Doesn't look like too much for #5 to handle.
  5  PASS THE DICE                 10 = 7/5 Win at 3/2
  7  HURRY UP ALAN               4 =5/1
  2  LONGFOR THE CITY         3  =7/1  Obvious speed but not at 2/1. 
  1  LUCKBOX SAM                  2     
  3  PUPPY MANNERS              1     
  4  HOWL                                   2      
  6  SUE THEM ALL                  2       

3RD AQU APR 23     
1 MILE TURF   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 40,000-ALL PURSE $41,000 (  )
>>>This is the first longshot race, but much depends on the scratches.
#4,10,6,7,2 all perfectly capable. Watch the board.
  4  MOEGAN AVENUE          23 
 10  DATAMINING                  20 win at 5/2        
  6  GREYJOY                          18     
  7  CATAMOUNT                   17       
  2  LIAM'S PRINCE                12     Best closer and drops from MSW.      
 14  GREYSCALE                    11       
 15  INVISIBLE CROWN        10      
 16  AFTER CHEYENNE        10     
  1  HABITS                              FTS 16%    
  3  BALFE'S CORNER             2     
  5  MOONLIGHT PARTY        2     
  8  WHISKEY REBEL             2       
  9  HIYO                                   2         
 11  SUNRISE WARRIOR        2          
 12  IM A PRANKSTER           2       
 13  SPEIGHTMAN                  2       

 4TH AQU APR 23     
1 MILE DIRT   THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE
PURSE $72,000 (31 points)
>>> #6 looks really tough in here.
  6  LITERATA    11  = 9/5  Look for her in the garden spot.
  3  FLICK OF AN EYE  7 =7/2  win at 5/2      
  4  JCS AMERICAN DREAM  4 =7/1    
  7  IN SPITE OF MAMA          3 =9/1  
  1  FAST RETAILING              2
  2  A FEW GOOD FRIENDS   2         
  5  REGIA MARINA                2  
    
5TH AQU APR 23     STATE-BRED
1 1/16 MILES TURF   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
PURSE $65,000 (57)
>>>#12 looks much the best.
 12  STARTUP NATION  25 = 6/5 Strong in the lane.
  3  UNCLE SIGH  12 =9/2     
  7  MARK MY STYLE   6 = 9/1 win at 5/1
 10  FINAL CHAPTER   5 = 11/1
  4  OWNER GENTLEMAN       3          
  2  GLOWING EMBER             2     
  6  FOREVER UTOPIA             2 
 11  FRONT                                 2     
        
6TH AQU APR 23     
6 FURLONGS DIRT   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 14,000-ALL PURSE $26,000 (54 points)
>>> Likely a good payday here, all of the top four are capable....
None should go off at a cheap price.
  8  SURFSPUN  11 = 4/1 Speed duel? 5/2
  9  IDEAL QUALITY  11 = 4/1  Best closer. 5/2    
  4  TOUCHDOWN  9 = 5/1  Speed duel? win at 9/2
  5  GUNLOCK   9  = 5/1 place at 8/1
  1  ANDREW'S GOT ZIP  6  = 8/1 Speed duel?
  2  TOTTIE ROYER  2        
  3  HOWIE'S TIZ   2        
  6  WORBOTHOR  2      
  7  SUCKITUPBUSTER 2        
    
7TH AQU APR 23     
1 1/16 MILES TURF   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS 
NONGRADED STAKE
PURSE $100,000 (61)
>>> Again, 4 capable horses so don't play the chalk.
#7,2,3,8.
  7  UNBRIDLED DADDY 15 = 3/1
  2  HIGHLAND SKY 14  = 7/2 Gets tough near wire. Win at 6/5
  3  DIXIE RUNNER  12 = 4/1       
  8  RAPPEL  9   = 6/1
  6  HIGHLY PRIZED  4 
  1  IN EQUALITY   2         
  4  TOO DISCREET    2  
  5  MIGHTY MO       2      
  9  TOUGHEST 'OMBRE 2  

    
8TH AQU APR 23     
6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT   THOROUGHBRED FILLIES 3 YEAR OLDS 
NONGRADED STAKE
PURSE $100,000 (41 points)
>>> Three very strong fillies and a couple of capable longshots.
Whoever's the chalk will be a bad play.
  3  FROSTY MARGARITA 9 Never a bad race in 8 tries.   7/2
  1  SHE'S ALL READY   9   Layoff return, top jock.  7/2 
  8  BEHRNIK'S BANK    8  Weak layoff trainer.  4/1
  6  WONDERMENT        5  Is 3-for-4 with top connections 7/1 
  5  MADAME MAYBRY  4 Sharp now. 9/1
  7  RIOT WORTHY         3  Just won maiden. 15/1
  2  LIBRETA   2   Layoff return, top jock. Win 13/1
  4  GREGORIAN GOLD 1  Looks overmatched.
  
9TH AQU APR 23     
1 1/16 MILES TURF   THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 25,000-ALL PURSE $34,000 
>>>Lots of scratches will effect the strategy for both bettors and jockeys.
If #13 goes off at the predicted 20/1, that might be a bet.
  5  HUSHHUSHMUSHMUSH = 11 Maybe underneath. 
  9  LOOSE MONEY= 10 Drops to right class.    
 13  INTERIOR SECRETARY = 10 Maiden winner, first grass.    
 11  HUMBOLDT N FROST= 7 Layoff may help 
 10  GEO NIKO= 6 Great breeding, but not at 5/1    
 12  SIR MAURICE= 5 Is 1-for-31      
  3  CONSTANTINE= 5 Weak layoff trainer.     
 15  FREUDIAN LIGHTS= 4  Weak trainer.
  2  PIONEER OF WIFI=3    
  4  MOMMA'S MARK= 3     
  6  NATIVE GEORGE= 3  First grass.      
 16  CHASIN CHAMA = 3  Weak trainer.
  7  IRISH JADE  =3  Maybe underneath.
  1  PATROLIKEACHAMPION= 2  
 14  CODY'S NOTES=  2  Weak layoff trainer. Win at 30/1
  8  BALDONNEL= 1 Strong layoff trainer, but...   


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