Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Friday, March 27, 2015

FLORIDA AND LOUISIANA DERBY


Listed below are the minimum playable odds....

FORIDA DERBY
Not a really competitive race. Three contenders, one longshot who's likely to be over bet, and five outsiders.
The contenders:
7 Materiality 5/2 (Win 9/5) 
9 Upstart 3/1 (Place 1/1)
4 Itsaknockout 9/2 (Fourth 5/1)
The live longshot:
1 Ami's Flatter 12/1 (Show 7/1)
The outsiders:
2 Jack Tripp 22/1
3 Indiannaughty 22/1
5 Quimet 22/1
6 Mypointexactly 22/1
8 Dekabrist 30/1
No surprises. None of the top four horses was worth a bet. The superfecta was so obvious it paid $2.83 for a $2.40 box.

LOUISIANA DERBY
This is a more competitive race than the Florida Derby. There are two contenders, and six live longshots.
The contenders:
6 War Story 3/1 (Show 2/1)
2  Mr. Z 7/2
The live longshots:
9 International Star 9/1 (Win 2/1)
1 Stanford 10/1 (Place 7/1)
7 Keen Ice 10/1 (Fourth 5/1)
8 St. Joe Bay 10/1
5 A Day in Paradise 14/1
3 Defondo 17/1
The hopeless outsider:
4 Fusaichi Flame 26/1
Obviously, the crowd was sharper than we were, backing International Star at low odds. But none of the top horses went off at fair odds.


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