Monmouth horse race odds, May 11

The odds quoted are the "fair" or "break even" odds, not the morning line. Chaos races have no "A" horse and are opportunities for longshot handicappers. Races that have an "A" horse are dangerous ground for longshot players.
Pick players can use the "ABC" ratings to make their tickets.

These ratings do work. Horses going off at 3/1 or under who were not "A" rated won only 24% of their races, returning 78 cents on the dollar. That return is as bad as betting purely at random.
Horses going off at 3/1 or under who were "A" rated won 38% of their races, returning 95 cents on the dollar.
(This comparison uses a sample size of 1,300 horses running in the last 6 months.)

MTh One
Looks like very little competition for #1 Call Me Sweetheart.
#1 A 3/2 win $2.70

MTH Two
Chaos race. There is no "A" horse. Minimum bet: 4/1
The favorites in chaos races have proven very bad bets.
#2 B 5/1
#5 C 7/1
#6 C 7/1
#7 B 4/1
#8 B 5/1
#9 D 9/1

MTH Three
#1 Fiftyfour Forever, must overcome a 4-month layoff.
#1 A 5/2
#2 D 6/1
#3 B 7/2

MTH Four
Toss the sloppy race for #1 Taradise.
#1 A 1/2

MTH Seven.
Borderline chaos race, minimum odds 7/2
#10 Pelican Cove may be the favorite, but the 5/2 line is too low.
#1 C 6/1
#5 D 8/1
#6 C 6/1
#7 B 7/2
#10 B 4/1

MTH Eight
Another borderline chaos race. Fight the favorite. The best horse should be no less than 7/2
#1 B 9/2
#3 C 6/1
#4 B 7/2 win $2.40
#6 D 8/1
#7 D 8/1

MTH Nine
#10 Readthebyline is the class of the field by far.
#8 Adduce may be useful "underneath."
#3 D 7/1 win 5.30
#5 C 5/1
#6 D 7/1
#8 D 7/1
#10 A 3/1

MTH Ten
#7 Flying Kaz could be much the best.
#1 B 5/1 win $4.90
#4 B 5/1
#5 B 5/1
#7 A 3/1
#9 C 7/1

MTH Eleven The Decathalon Stakes
Another borderline chaos race. Minimum bet 7/2
Plenty of contenders, and no dominant "A" horse.
#1 D 8/1
#2 B 7/2
#3 C 6/1 win $3.00
#4 C 6/1
#5 B 7/2