Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments

Thursday, January 29, 2009

FEATURES..., JAN 31.

TAMPA MANATEE STAKES
Tar Heel Mom 119*90 been winning/placing vs. much classier.
Adhrhythm 118*89 classier competition, but failed.
Cape Cod Lady 118*77 5 straight bad ones.
Rising Fever 116*96 Hates to lose. Place last, 6/8 life.
Star Operator 116*95 just missed.
Pay The Man 114*92, toss turf last.
Dee's Rose 114*94, big win last.
Classie Hennessy 111*96
Open conditions let Tarheel steal the race.

AQUEDUCT CORRECTION
Intentional Fever 119*92, place last. ML 5/1 a bargain.
Blowing Kisses 119*92, show, stumbled last.
A Rose For You 117*99 ... 3/5 distance, 5 straight good, place last.
Distorted Passion 117*93, won last
Awesome Chic 117*87
Coli Bear 115*95... 9/25 dist, 2/5 aqu. Awful last.
Intentional Fever at a price.

FAIR GROUNDS, THE BLACK GOLD, 5.5 TURF.
129.8 Unbridle's Dream 114*92, bad finish, layoff...
129.6 Big Push 113*83 in only turf. Best races poly.
129.0 Turfiste 113*84, place last turf.
127.9 Citizen, first turf.
121.3 Midland Man first turf, 7/1 fair odds, long layoff, poor first turf.
120.6 Sangre Frio 5/2 ridiculous odds in first turf, enjoys bias.
118.6 Extreme Warrior 112*83, bad finish last two.
113.2 Proteus 109*84, enjoys bias, best turf breeding, big win first turf sprint.
Proteus worth a shot at long odds in chaos race.

OAKLAWN, THE KING COTTON
Semaphore Man 117*102 7/11 OP, 8/19 distance.
Greeley's Conquest 121*97 2/4 OP, 5/8 distance.
Island Warrior 120*97, speed on rail. first OP.
Native Ruler 121*102 2/2 OP, 6/10 distance.
Silver Edition 120*93 0/2 OP, 1/5 distance.
This looks like a race that's decided at the 2nd call, which gives Semaphore the edge.
Nonetheless, Semaphore, Greely's and Native seem to be the big 3.
Boxing those three should do the trick.

THE SANTAMONICA
Ventura 120*105 the ass-kicking closer who beat Indian last time, 2/2 distance/surface.
Not much of a race since the coward Baffert scratched Indian Blessing.

THE HOLY BULL

West Side Bernie, legit chalk? 118*98
Beethoven, probably a step slower than Bernie 116*96
Danger To Society, liable to get even better in his 3rd race. 114*95
Idol Maker, Pletcher wins 20% graded stakes, horse had brilliant debut, pace prep.
Stately Character 116*93, right distance and surface, live longshot.

THE DONN
Albertus Maximus 121*108, he can hit traffic though.
Arson Squad 121*106 sharp now.
A. P. Arrow 121*100 at a price, new trainer.
Einstein 121*103 he's a genius and 3/2 lifetime horse, but the post ain't good.

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