DEL MAR NOV. 25
-------------------------
ONE $12K claimer.
4- Airfoil <22>22>
6- Private Prospect <22>22>
8- Indavidualist <22>22>
All three are about equal in accomplishment and worth about 4/1. Private Prospect was pulled up last time and is now listed at 15/1.
TWO A maiden turf for 2-year-old fillies. A lot of talent in here.
5- Bunny Yogurt <22> 2/122>
7- Paved <20> 5/120>
8- Scat Home Lady <20> 5/120>
THREE A $16K claimer. None of these four would be a surprise.
1- Tribal Jewel <27> 2/127>
3- Beaumarchais <26> 4/126>
7- Dukes Up <26> 5/126>
8- Saint Dermot <25> 6/125>
FOUR A mile on the turf for $40K horses.
2- Spanish Hombre <28> 2/128>
5- Eldtrich (27> 4/1
13- Terry's Tom Cat <26> 6/126>
The bettors may miss Eldtrich, since he has no speed figures off his Euro races.
The 20/1 morning line would be a steal. He has run tough in 5 of his 6 races, and is as classy as any in here.
FIVE The Native Diver G3 at 9 furlongs
1- Mubtaahij <34> 2/134>
2- Top of the Game <34> 5/234>
Looks like a two-horse race.
SIX A sprint for $20K Cal-breds.
3- Street Fighter <25> 2/1 Huge fig at DMR.25>
5- Swiss Minister <25> 4/1 25>
8- Getoffmyback <24> 6/124>
Swiss Minister is listed at 8/1, which would be a bargain. He's not ridden by a top jockey, and that will be good for his tote.
SEVEN Hollywood Derby G1, 9 furlongs on the grass
4- Sharp Samurai <32> 2/132>
7- Mo Town <30> 4/130>
Not much else in here, although on grass you never know.
EIGHT Maiden with loads of first-timers. Pass.
NINE The Jimmy Durante G3 turf mile
13 Fatale Bere <30> 8/530>
By far the most talent, may be overlooked because of outside post.
Horse racing picks, odds, predictions and comments
Friday, May 20, 2016
CANTERBURY MAY 21
RACE ONE
Beat #7 Blazing Angel
Looks much the best, despite layoff, in weak field
But stone closers don't do well at CBY.
Try:
#1 Hey Funny
#6 Bold Prospect Win 6/1
No bet:
#3 Zan Creek (9/2) fades horribly
RACE TWO
With #1 Combine #6 Or SundaySword of David
The two top trainers, Mac and Diodoro, go at it.
#3 Harnersbach has a shot if the above two commit suicide.
Missed 11/1 shot Congratulate Me.
RACE THREE (turf)
Play #7 Rhetorical miss at 7/5
Best trainer and turf rider.
#3 Friarcracker has a shot, but need way better than 5/2
#4 My Crazy Dayse could surprise at 10/1 for new trainer.
Misses Jiquick at 2/1
RACE FOUR "Ladyslipper"
Combine
#3 Sky and Sea win 3/5
Has a tendency to lead, weaken late
#4 Rockin' the Bleu's place
Probably enjoys a subtle class edge.
#1 and #6 for exotic partners. #1 Show at 15/1
Tri paid $10 for $1
RACE FIVE
Beat #3 Follow the Spiders
#4 if 6/1 (class)
#2 if 8/1 (speed)
#8 if 12/1 (speed)
Missed firster Some Say So at 7/1
RACE SIX
Beat #3 Rodeoactive
#7 Kenna Mae could be a big surprise > 16/1
#5 Unbridled Mayhem >5/1
#1 Victory Ice >6/1
Missed firster #9 at 8/5
RACE SEVEN
Beat #8 Fear Fighter
Mac's debut colt will be over bet.
#2 Drinkinatthebar, a comebacker, 4/1
#1 Dakota Native ran well on last fast track.
Missed #10 at 4/1
RACE EIGHT (turf)
Beat #4 Northhampton Kid show at 4/5
0-for-12 and lags early.
#3 Glory Kingdom, sneaky at >81
#2 Sioux Hockey 7/2
Missed #8 at 6/1
RACE NINE (starter allowance)
Beat #2 YaYa Gottabedatway
Trainer got a spectacular win at 6/5 at Hawthorne.
Then he faded at Arlington 13 days ago.
In a field of 10, he's only got about a 20% chance.
#5 Take It Like A Man, only recent winner of a starter allowance 4/1
#1 The Third Ace, 3-for-10 at the distance.
#3 Aunt Ruby's Kitchen, 2 sneaky longshot wins at OP.
#7 Word Racer, Mac at a price, layoff, drop in class.
#10 Gentle as a Breeze, new trainer, and 15 career wins.
Missed #4 at 3/2
Beat #7 Blazing Angel
Looks much the best, despite layoff, in weak field
But stone closers don't do well at CBY.
Try:
#1 Hey Funny
#6 Bold Prospect Win 6/1
No bet:
#3 Zan Creek (9/2) fades horribly
RACE TWO
With #1 Combine #6 Or SundaySword of David
The two top trainers, Mac and Diodoro, go at it.
#3 Harnersbach has a shot if the above two commit suicide.
Missed 11/1 shot Congratulate Me.
RACE THREE (turf)
Play #7 Rhetorical miss at 7/5
Best trainer and turf rider.
#3 Friarcracker has a shot, but need way better than 5/2
#4 My Crazy Dayse could surprise at 10/1 for new trainer.
Misses Jiquick at 2/1
RACE FOUR "Ladyslipper"
Combine
#3 Sky and Sea win 3/5
Has a tendency to lead, weaken late
#4 Rockin' the Bleu's place
Probably enjoys a subtle class edge.
#1 and #6 for exotic partners. #1 Show at 15/1
Tri paid $10 for $1
RACE FIVE
Beat #3 Follow the Spiders
#4 if 6/1 (class)
#2 if 8/1 (speed)
#8 if 12/1 (speed)
Missed firster Some Say So at 7/1
RACE SIX
Beat #3 Rodeoactive
#7 Kenna Mae could be a big surprise > 16/1
#5 Unbridled Mayhem >5/1
#1 Victory Ice >6/1
Missed firster #9 at 8/5
RACE SEVEN
Beat #8 Fear Fighter
Mac's debut colt will be over bet.
#2 Drinkinatthebar, a comebacker, 4/1
#1 Dakota Native ran well on last fast track.
Missed #10 at 4/1
RACE EIGHT (turf)
Beat #4 Northhampton Kid show at 4/5
0-for-12 and lags early.
#3 Glory Kingdom, sneaky at >81
#2 Sioux Hockey 7/2
Missed #8 at 6/1
RACE NINE (starter allowance)
Beat #2 YaYa Gottabedatway
Trainer got a spectacular win at 6/5 at Hawthorne.
Then he faded at Arlington 13 days ago.
In a field of 10, he's only got about a 20% chance.
#5 Take It Like A Man, only recent winner of a starter allowance 4/1
#1 The Third Ace, 3-for-10 at the distance.
#7 Word Racer, Mac at a price, layoff, drop in class.
Missed #4 at 3/2
Friday, May 06, 2016
CHURCHILL, MAY 6
1st Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 7 Furlongs Dirt.
1 Front Row Debbie FTS
2 Naylor T18
3 Gurlin 12
4 Burma Road 8
5 Black Diamond Girl 15
6 Linda Mimi 11
7 Modify A*** 1/2
8 Learning Curve C
9 Garden Goddess 14
2nd Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt.
1 Vickie Wins C&&
2 Blast 8
3 Lady Day Blues 19
4 Vivid Storm 13
5 Covey Trace 17
6 Tia Flor 8
7 American Holiday 9/T31
8 Bold Quality B#
9 Conquest Serenade A*** 4/5
3rd Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt.
1 Paid Up Subscriber A* 2/1
2 Rose To Glory 8
3 Academic Break 11&
4 Gamblers Rose 7
5 Contrasting C/T30
6 Street Song 7#
7 Hone In 10
8 Twenty In One 10
9 Misleading Lady B/T21
4th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt.
1 Afleet Lady 9
2 Divine Elegance B
3 Lemon Drop Belle 17
4 Firsthand Report C/T25
5 Yankee Lass 15
6 Smart Emma 14
7 Family Tree A***&# 3/5
8 Avisionofchocolate 10/T20
9 Bonita Cat 17
10 Sugar Cone 10
5th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 1 Mile Turf.
1 Lowen Warrior 21
2 Caribbean A /T24
3 Uncle Guy 5/T23 6/1
4 Dasaateer 17
5 Tom's D'etat R1/T17
6 Jacob Rocks 8
7 Top Of The Game 16
8 Commend C/T22#
9 Pitch Count 14
10 Walker's Way 21
11 Go Navy Go 9
12 R H Is A Runner 23&&
13 Baires Boy 8
14 The Player B
6th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. La Troienne S. (Grade 1)
1 Curalina B&&& 2/1
2 Sheer Drama A***T19
3 Angela Renee 9&&&
4 Brooklynsway 16
5 Penwith C&&
6 Engaginglee 14
7 Theogony 11
7th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Eight Belles S. (Grade 2)
1 Marquee Miss 8
2 Jade Princess 10/&&
3 Summer Reading 12&&&
4 Put Da Blame On Me 15
5 Carina Mia A* 3/5
6 Blip N' Th Bye 7.
7 Stageplay C/T21
8 Nickname B/T21#
8th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 5 Furlongs Turf. Twin Spires Turf Sprint S. (Grade 3).
1 Power Alert 7 (6/11 Distance) /T23
2 Summation Time B (2/5 Distance) /T23
3 Mongol Bull 29 (5/13 Distance)
4 Rocket Heat 11 (3/5 Distance) 8/1
5 American Sailor 15 (2/5 Distance)
6 Alsvid 8#
7 Hootenanny C (2/2 Distance)
8 Weast Hill 12 (FG) T/25
9 Speightsong 20
10 Latent Revenge 21 (3/6 Distance)
11 Something Extra 7 (1/8 Distance)
12 Guns Loaded A
13 Sylven Park 41 (2/6 Distance)
9th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Alysheba S. (Grade 2).
1 Cat Burglar B*/T24
2 Natchez 13
3 Departing 8
4 Eagle 3*
5 Noble Bird 5#
6 Majestic Affair A*/T18
7 Top Billing 15/T20
8 Face Of Winner 17
9 Majestic Harbor 7 9/1
10 Midnight Storm C&
10th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Edgewood S. (Grade 3)
1 Harmonize C/T16*
2 Born To Be Winner 29&&
3 Nodiac B#*
4 Auntie Joy 28
5 Ava's Kitten 14/T18
6 Jeremy's Legacy 19
7 Outsider Art 26
8 Enjoy Yourself 21&&
9 Believe In Bertie 27/T22
10 Catch A Glimpse A* 3/2
11 Sky My Sky 29
12 Adore 19 FG
13 Heavenly View 18/T20
11th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1)
1 Terra Promessa 8/T17
2 Weep No More 15
3 Lewis Bay C/T18*
4 Go Maggie Go 16
5 Dream Dance 17
6 Mokat 16
7 Mo D'amour 11/T20
8 Royal Obsession 10/T17
9 Paola Queen 16
10 Venus Valentine 18
11 Rachel's Valentina B/T20#
12 Cathryn Sophia A** 9/2
13 Land Over Sea 8
14 Taxable 17/T17
15 Dothraki Queen 19
12th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 1 Mile Turf. MAIDENS
1 Castlefinn 27
2 Vagabond Prince R1
3 Classy O'prado 38
4 Zap Cat 60
5 Conquest Stormy A/T15 3/2
6 Will Did It 12/FG
7 Long Ago 18
8 Dontmisstheprize 28
9 Astute Warrior R1
10 Purely Grateful R1
11 Henry Eight 24&&
12 Who's Your Drama B&&&
13 Alaskan Prince 23
14 Big Joe Candy 26/C25
13th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STARTER ALLOWANCE. 1 Mile Dirt.
1 Zander Zone (2) >14/1 BARGAIN, 8/1
2 Bankers Holiday (4)/C25 >13/1 ! FAIR AT 13/1
3 Morning Buzz (1) >7/1 ! FAIR AT 7/1
4 Stonescape (2)/T16 >7/2 2ND FAVORITE, TOSS, NEED 8/1
5 Frenchman Bay (C) /C23 >10/1 BARGAIN, 7/1
6 Kiss Limit (A) /C18 >5/2 FAVORITE, TOSS NEED 6/1
7 Meanbone (B) /T16# >9/1 BARGAIN, 7/1
8 Susan's Reward (11) >30/1 TOSS, 55/1
9 Rest Assured (8)/T16 >15/1 TOSS, 55/1
10 Mr. Right (4)&* >5/1 TOSS, 13/1
11 Bud's Bayonet (4)&&* >32/1 BARGAIN. 13/1
... This race had an unusually weak favorite, on the board at 5/2
but laboring under fair odds of 6/1
We found four bargains on the board.
$8 wagered brought in $30 when the #1 won.
or a true payoff of a little over 5/2
At 13/1 true, #11 was an unlikely winner and might
have been played to place... not that it mattered.
We had an average 11/1 payoff on the 3 dutchers
to win... and a 40% chance of cashing.
Bottom line: 40% chance to make a 250% profit
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 7 Furlongs Dirt.
1 Front Row Debbie FTS
2 Naylor T18
3 Gurlin 12
4 Burma Road 8
5 Black Diamond Girl 15
6 Linda Mimi 11
7 Modify A*** 1/2
8 Learning Curve C
9 Garden Goddess 14
2nd Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt.
1 Vickie Wins C&&
2 Blast 8
3 Lady Day Blues 19
4 Vivid Storm 13
5 Covey Trace 17
6 Tia Flor 8
7 American Holiday 9/T31
8 Bold Quality B#
9 Conquest Serenade A*** 4/5
3rd Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 Mile Dirt.
1 Paid Up Subscriber A* 2/1
2 Rose To Glory 8
3 Academic Break 11&
4 Gamblers Rose 7
5 Contrasting C/T30
6 Street Song 7#
7 Hone In 10
8 Twenty In One 10
9 Misleading Lady B/T21
4th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt.
1 Afleet Lady 9
2 Divine Elegance B
3 Lemon Drop Belle 17
4 Firsthand Report C/T25
5 Yankee Lass 15
6 Smart Emma 14
7 Family Tree A***&# 3/5
8 Avisionofchocolate 10/T20
9 Bonita Cat 17
10 Sugar Cone 10
5th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 1 Mile Turf.
1 Lowen Warrior 21
2 Caribbean A /T24
3 Uncle Guy 5/T23 6/1
4 Dasaateer 17
5 Tom's D'etat R1/T17
6 Jacob Rocks 8
7 Top Of The Game 16
8 Commend C/T22#
9 Pitch Count 14
10 Walker's Way 21
11 Go Navy Go 9
12 R H Is A Runner 23&&
13 Baires Boy 8
14 The Player B
6th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. La Troienne S. (Grade 1)
1 Curalina B&&& 2/1
2 Sheer Drama A***T19
3 Angela Renee 9&&&
4 Brooklynsway 16
5 Penwith C&&
6 Engaginglee 14
7 Theogony 11
7th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Eight Belles S. (Grade 2)
1 Marquee Miss 8
2 Jade Princess 10/&&
3 Summer Reading 12&&&
4 Put Da Blame On Me 15
5 Carina Mia A* 3/5
6 Blip N' Th Bye 7.
7 Stageplay C/T21
8 Nickname B/T21#
8th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 5 Furlongs Turf. Twin Spires Turf Sprint S. (Grade 3).
1 Power Alert 7 (6/11 Distance) /T23
2 Summation Time B (2/5 Distance) /T23
3 Mongol Bull 29 (5/13 Distance)
4 Rocket Heat 11 (3/5 Distance) 8/1
5 American Sailor 15 (2/5 Distance)
6 Alsvid 8#
7 Hootenanny C (2/2 Distance)
8 Weast Hill 12 (FG) T/25
9 Speightsong 20
10 Latent Revenge 21 (3/6 Distance)
11 Something Extra 7 (1/8 Distance)
12 Guns Loaded A
13 Sylven Park 41 (2/6 Distance)
9th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Alysheba S. (Grade 2).
1 Cat Burglar B*/T24
2 Natchez 13
3 Departing 8
4 Eagle 3*
5 Noble Bird 5#
6 Majestic Affair A*/T18
7 Top Billing 15/T20
8 Face Of Winner 17
9 Majestic Harbor 7 9/1
10 Midnight Storm C&
10th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Edgewood S. (Grade 3)
1 Harmonize C/T16*
2 Born To Be Winner 29&&
3 Nodiac B#*
4 Auntie Joy 28
5 Ava's Kitten 14/T18
6 Jeremy's Legacy 19
7 Outsider Art 26
8 Enjoy Yourself 21&&
9 Believe In Bertie 27/T22
10 Catch A Glimpse A* 3/2
11 Sky My Sky 29
12 Adore 19 FG
13 Heavenly View 18/T20
11th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STAKES. 1 1/8 Mile Dirt. Kentucky Oaks (Grade 1)
1 Terra Promessa 8/T17
2 Weep No More 15
3 Lewis Bay C/T18*
4 Go Maggie Go 16
5 Dream Dance 17
6 Mokat 16
7 Mo D'amour 11/T20
8 Royal Obsession 10/T17
9 Paola Queen 16
10 Venus Valentine 18
11 Rachel's Valentina B/T20#
12 Cathryn Sophia A** 9/2
13 Land Over Sea 8
14 Taxable 17/T17
15 Dothraki Queen 19
12th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 1 Mile Turf. MAIDENS
1 Castlefinn 27
2 Vagabond Prince R1
3 Classy O'prado 38
4 Zap Cat 60
5 Conquest Stormy A/T15 3/2
6 Will Did It 12/FG
7 Long Ago 18
8 Dontmisstheprize 28
9 Astute Warrior R1
10 Purely Grateful R1
11 Henry Eight 24&&
12 Who's Your Drama B&&&
13 Alaskan Prince 23
14 Big Joe Candy 26/C25
13th Race - Churchill Downs - Friday, May 6th, 2016
STARTER ALLOWANCE. 1 Mile Dirt.
1 Zander Zone (2) >14/1 BARGAIN, 8/1
2 Bankers Holiday (4)/C25 >13/1 ! FAIR AT 13/1
3 Morning Buzz (1) >7/1 ! FAIR AT 7/1
4 Stonescape (2)/T16 >7/2 2ND FAVORITE, TOSS, NEED 8/1
5 Frenchman Bay (C) /C23 >10/1 BARGAIN, 7/1
6 Kiss Limit (A) /C18 >5/2 FAVORITE, TOSS NEED 6/1
7 Meanbone (B) /T16# >9/1 BARGAIN, 7/1
8 Susan's Reward (11) >30/1 TOSS, 55/1
9 Rest Assured (8)/T16 >15/1 TOSS, 55/1
10 Mr. Right (4)&* >5/1 TOSS, 13/1
11 Bud's Bayonet (4)&&* >32/1 BARGAIN. 13/1
... This race had an unusually weak favorite, on the board at 5/2
but laboring under fair odds of 6/1
We found four bargains on the board.
$8 wagered brought in $30 when the #1 won.
or a true payoff of a little over 5/2
At 13/1 true, #11 was an unlikely winner and might
have been played to place... not that it mattered.
We had an average 11/1 payoff on the 3 dutchers
to win... and a 40% chance of cashing.
Bottom line: 40% chance to make a 250% profit
Saturday, April 30, 2016
BELMONT PARK, APRIL 30
(+ speed/class advantage)
(& layoff advantage)
ALLOWANCE. 1 1/16 Mile Turf. Purse $80,000. INNER TURF
2 Theresas Candyrose (10) +++ Junior 27% turf.
3 Dea (9)
4 Thundering Sky (4) + first grass
5 Secure Access (4) &&
1 Southern Gem (8) &&
6 Pushme Pullyou (1)
1A Rock Me Again (8) ++ &&&
>>> 44 points
*1/1A if coupled 9/5
*2 Theresas Candyrose 7/2
2nd Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
CLAIMING. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $25,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.
2 Saint Finian (2)
3 Puppy Manners (1)
4 Stay Tuned (1)
5 Mack Miller (1)
6 Clowney (2) Picks up top turf rider.
7 Castaway (4) Top turf rider.
1 Bad Hombre (9) +
8 Aleander (10) ++
1A Nevada Kid (19) +++ 31% trainer angle
>>> 49 points.
*If the 1-1A entry holds, fair odds: 4/5
3rd Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
CLAIMING. 7 Furlongs Turf. Purse $40,000. (UP TO $7,200 NYSBFOA) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES.
3 Undertherain (1)
4 Tent City (3) &&
5 Doukas (9)
6 Hatta's Appeal (12)+ &&
7 Aussie Prayer (12)++ &&
8 The Name's Paddy (1)
9 Sweet Corinna (17)++ 3rd race back: 21%
10 Your Turn (1)
>>>56 points
*9 Sweet Corinna 5/2
*6 Hatta's Appeal 7/2
*7 Aussie Prayer 7/2
*5 Doukas 5/1
4th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 6 1/2 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $60,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE
1 Lady In Shades (2)
2 Cheering For Al (3) R1 17%
3 Princess Chris (1)
4 Cats Halo (5)+
5 Super Allison (10)++ bad layoff angle.
6 Picco Uno (5) &&
7 Eighth Commandment (1) R1
8 Diamonds Please (1) R1
9 True Charm (11)++
>>>39 Points
*9 True Charm 5/2
*5 Super Allison 5/2
*4 Cats Halo 7/1
*6 Picco Uno 7/1
5th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
ALLOWANCE. 6 Furlongs Turf. Purse $62,000. INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE
2 Gran The Man (7)+ Servis at 23% on turf
3 Bajan Summer (6)
4 Dearie (1)
5 Copernicus (1)
6 Wicked Freud (11)+
7 Black Tide (26)+++ &&
8 Unstoppable (4)
9 Borrowed Dreams (1)
>>>57 points.
* 7 Black Tide 4/5
* 6 Wicked Freud 9/2
* 2 Gran The Man 7/1
6th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
MAIDEN CLAIMING. 6 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $46,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
1 Vandalize (21)+++ &&&
2 Porch Pounder (23)++
3 Gloves Off (7) Picks up top turf rider and 26% trainer angle.
4 Tricky Citizen (6) Angle: 40% first time drop to maiden claimer.
5 Policy Portfolio (3) R1 19%
6 Do Share (1) RQ1
7 Pure Excitement (5) First drop to maiden claiming: 29%
8 Tea And Cricket (1)
9 Cornedbeefncabbage (3) R1 14%
10 Our Karma (13)+
11 Heliodoro (10)
>>> 93 points, and longshots galore.
*2 Porch Pounder 3/1
* 1 Vandalize 7/2
* 10 Our Karma 6/1
* 11 Heliodoro 8/1
* 3 Gloves Off 12/1
7th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
ALLOWANCE. 1 1/16 Mile Dirt. Purse $80,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES.
1 Groupthink (8)+ &&
2 Bellamy Way (20)+++
3 Saratoga Wildcat (11)++
4 Rally Cry (11) &&
5 Mister Monolo (6) &
6 Sea Raven (7)
7 Waymond Boyd (5)
8 Rich 'n' Tuck (1)
>>> 69 points.
*2 Bellamy Way 5/2
*3 Saratoga Wildcat 5/1
* 4 Rally Cry 5/1
8th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Turf. Purse $100,000. Elusive Quality S.. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD.
1 Mosler (2) &
2 King Kreesa (15)++ &&
3 A Lot (11) &&&
4 Bye Bye Bernie (1)
5 Green Mask (24) +++ &&
7 Sandy'z Slew (1)
8 Kharafa (9)
9 Spartiatis (1)
10 Big Guy Ian (2) ++ first grass.
12 Aztec Brave (2)
>>> 68 points.
* 5 Green Mask 9/5
* 2 King Kreesa, Belmont monster, 7/2.
* 3 A Lot 5/1
9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, April 30th, 2016
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. 6 Furlongs Turf. Purse $75,000. INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
1 Wyeth (3) R1 20%
2 Gee Pea Ess (22)++
3 Conquest See Ya (10) first grass
4 Mystery Solved (2) R1 12%
5 Jess I Am (11)
6 These Blues (1) first grass
7 Drop Shot (19) +++ first grass
8 Henrik Rules (11)
9 Naqafeer (3) R1 19%
10 Kettles On (1)
11 Mr. Neetie (17)+ Velazquez, first lasix.
12 Silent Mission (4) trainer, jockey 20%
>>>100 points.
* 2 Gee Pea Ess 7/2
* 7 Drop Shot 4/1
* 11 Mr. Neetie 5/1
* 8 Henrik Rules 9/1
* 5 Jess I Am 9/1
* 3 Conquest See Ya 9/1
Friday, April 22, 2016
AQUEDUCT APRIL 23
1ST AQU APR 23 STATE-BRED
6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 40,000-ALL PURSE $41,000 (44 )
>>>Nothing special from the 3 virgins so, not much of a betting race.
#6 may be the bargain, with a strong layoff trainer. Watch the board.
Always watch the board.
>>>Nothing special from the 3 virgins so, not much of a betting race.
#6 may be the bargain, with a strong layoff trainer. Watch the board.
Always watch the board.
4 FLEETING GOLD 15 =2/1
1 SUMMER BOURBON FTS
5 EXCLUDED 12 =5/2
6 IN CONDITION 10 =7/2 Might wire 'em. Did at 8/5
2 DILLON STRUCT GOLD FTS
3 RED HOOK EXPRESS FTS
2ND AQU APR 23
1 MILE DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 20,000-ALL PURSE $40,000 (24 )
>>> Doesn't look like too much for #5 to handle.
>>> Doesn't look like too much for #5 to handle.
5 PASS THE DICE 10 = 7/5 Win at 3/2
1 LUCKBOX SAM 2
7 HURRY UP ALAN 4 =5/1
2 LONGFOR THE CITY 3 =7/1 Obvious speed but not at 2/1.
3 PUPPY MANNERS 1
4 HOWL 2
6 SUE THEM ALL 2
3RD AQU APR 23
1 MILE TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 40,000-ALL PURSE $41,000 ( )
>>>This is the first longshot race, but much depends on the scratches.
#4,10,6,7,2 all perfectly capable. Watch the board.
>>>This is the first longshot race, but much depends on the scratches.
#4,10,6,7,2 all perfectly capable. Watch the board.
4 MOEGAN AVENUE 23
1 HABITS FTS 16%
10 DATAMINING 20 win at 5/2
6 GREYJOY 18
7 CATAMOUNT 17
2 LIAM'S PRINCE 12 Best closer and drops from MSW.
14 GREYSCALE 11
15 INVISIBLE CROWN 10
16 AFTER CHEYENNE 10 1 HABITS FTS 16%
3 BALFE'S CORNER 2
5 MOONLIGHT PARTY 2
8 WHISKEY REBEL 2
9 HIYO 2
11 SUNRISE WARRIOR 2
12 IM A PRANKSTER 2
13 SPEIGHTMAN 2
4TH AQU APR 23
1 MILE DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE
PURSE $72,000 (31 points)
>>> #6 looks really tough in here.
6 LITERATA 11 = 9/5 Look for her in the garden spot.
4 JCS AMERICAN DREAM 4 =7/1
7 IN SPITE OF MAMA 3 =9/1
1 FAST RETAILING 2
6 LITERATA 11 = 9/5 Look for her in the garden spot.
3 FLICK OF AN EYE 7 =7/2 win at 5/2
7 IN SPITE OF MAMA 3 =9/1
1 FAST RETAILING 2
2 A FEW GOOD FRIENDS 2
5 REGIA MARINA 2
5TH AQU APR 23 STATE-BRED
1 1/16 MILES TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
PURSE $65,000 (57)
>>>#12 looks much the best.
>>>#12 looks much the best.
12 STARTUP NATION 25 = 6/5 Strong in the lane.
7 MARK MY STYLE 6 = 9/1 win at 5/1
10 FINAL CHAPTER 5 = 11/1
2 GLOWING EMBER 2
3 UNCLE SIGH 12 =9/2
4 OWNER GENTLEMAN 3
6 FOREVER UTOPIA 2
11 FRONT 2
6TH AQU APR 23
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 14,000-ALL PURSE $26,000 (54 points)
>>> Likely a good payday here, all of the top four are capable....
None should go off at a cheap price.
>>> Likely a good payday here, all of the top four are capable....
None should go off at a cheap price.
8 SURFSPUN 11 = 4/1 Speed duel? 5/2
9 IDEAL QUALITY 11 = 4/1 Best closer. 5/2
4 TOUCHDOWN 9 = 5/1 Speed duel? win at 9/2
1 ANDREW'S GOT ZIP 6 = 8/1 Speed duel?
2 TOTTIE ROYER 2
3 HOWIE'S TIZ 2
6 WORBOTHOR 2
7 SUCKITUPBUSTER 2
7TH AQU APR 23
1 1/16 MILES TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS
NONGRADED STAKE
PURSE $100,000 (61)
>>> Again, 4 capable horses so don't play the chalk.
#7,2,3,8.
>>> Again, 4 capable horses so don't play the chalk.
#7,2,3,8.
7 UNBRIDLED DADDY 15 = 3/1
2 HIGHLAND SKY 14 = 7/2 Gets tough near wire. Win at 6/5
8 RAPPEL 9 = 6/1
6 HIGHLY PRIZED 4
1 IN EQUALITY 2
2 HIGHLAND SKY 14 = 7/2 Gets tough near wire. Win at 6/5
3 DIXIE RUNNER 12 = 4/1
6 HIGHLY PRIZED 4
1 IN EQUALITY 2
4 TOO DISCREET 2
5 MIGHTY MO 2
9 TOUGHEST 'OMBRE 2
8TH AQU APR 23
6 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES 3 YEAR OLDS
NONGRADED STAKE
PURSE $100,000 (41 points)
>>> Three very strong fillies and a couple of capable longshots.
Whoever's the chalk will be a bad play.
>>> Three very strong fillies and a couple of capable longshots.
Whoever's the chalk will be a bad play.
3 FROSTY MARGARITA 9 Never a bad race in 8 tries. 7/2
1 SHE'S ALL READY 9 Layoff return, top jock. 7/2
1 SHE'S ALL READY 9 Layoff return, top jock. 7/2
8 BEHRNIK'S BANK 8 Weak layoff trainer. 4/1
7 RIOT WORTHY 3 Just won maiden. 15/1
2 LIBRETA 2 Layoff return, top jock. Win 13/1
6 WONDERMENT 5 Is 3-for-4 with top connections 7/1
5 MADAME MAYBRY 4 Sharp now. 9/1
2 LIBRETA 2 Layoff return, top jock. Win 13/1
9TH AQU APR 23
1 1/16 MILES TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 25,000-ALL PURSE $34,000
>>>Lots of scratches will effect the strategy for both bettors and jockeys.
If #13 goes off at the predicted 20/1, that might be a bet.
>>>Lots of scratches will effect the strategy for both bettors and jockeys.
If #13 goes off at the predicted 20/1, that might be a bet.
5 HUSHHUSHMUSHMUSH = 11 Maybe underneath.
13 INTERIOR SECRETARY = 10 Maiden winner, first grass.
15 FREUDIAN LIGHTS= 4 Weak trainer.
2 PIONEER OF WIFI=3
1 PATROLIKEACHAMPION= 2
9 LOOSE MONEY= 10 Drops to right class.
11 HUMBOLDT N FROST= 7 Layoff may help
10 GEO NIKO= 6 Great breeding, but not at 5/1
12 SIR MAURICE= 5 Is 1-for-31
3 CONSTANTINE= 5 Weak layoff trainer.
4 MOMMA'S MARK= 3
6 NATIVE GEORGE= 3 First grass.
16 CHASIN CHAMA = 3 Weak trainer.
7 IRISH JADE =3 Maybe underneath.
7 IRISH JADE =3 Maybe underneath.
14 CODY'S NOTES= 2 Weak layoff trainer. Win at 30/1
8 BALDONNEL= 1 Strong layoff trainer, but...
Thursday, April 14, 2016
EXPER
5 Apologynotaccepted 28
7 I'll Take Charge 26
2 Mercer Mill Mae 244 Improv 25
8 C Islandsurprise 223 Strike Back Fast 216 Purim's Danawa 239 Contrasting 191 Makin' Sense 12
Tuesday, April 12, 2016
RACING APRIL 15
Gulfstream Park April 15
ENTRIES 1ST GPX APR 15
7 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 16,000-ALL PURSE $18,000 (12:55) (10)
1 GATO DEL CIELO 18
2 DEE'S CAUSEWAY 18
3 JUSTGIMMEAKISS 19
4 STARSHIP KAHLUA 18
5 HOPEFAITHJOY 22
6 DADDY'S PRIDE 16
7 MAKE BIG MONEY 15
8 MY SONG VENEZUELAN 17
9 MISS NALENEE 18
10 ALCALDESA 17
ENTRIES 6TH GPX APR 15
5 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
PURSE $42,000 (03:40) (11)
1 GINGER RUSH 23
2 STREET CASH 22
3 LADY LYDIE 10
4 GELATO GAL R1
5 TIZ TWICE R1
6 MISS BOB 11
7 CONQUEST SARAHSTAR 22
8 TIZ MADNESS 19
9 MICHAELSLITTLEALLY 21
10 IANA R1
11 ALABAMA ASHLEY 22
ENTRIES 7TH GPX APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 12,500-ALL PURSE $15,000 (04:13) (10)
1 MISS NIAGARA 15
2 GIULIETTA Q 6
3 MACROECONOMICS 5
4 DIAMOND TOUR 8
5 STARSHIP MAIDEN 16
6 TRANSCENDENT FAITH 12
7 LIGIA ELENA 15
8 UNKNOWN 18
9 GLOTONA AGAIN 13
10 CALYPSO MUSIC 11
Keeneland April 15
ENTRIES 1ST GPX APR 15 7 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP CLAIMING 16,000-ALL PURSE $18,000 (12:55) (10) 1 GATO DEL CIELO 18 2 DEE'S CAUSEWAY 18 3 JUSTGIMMEAKISS 19 4 STARSHIP KAHLUA 18 5 HOPEFAITHJOY 22 6 DADDY'S PRIDE 16 7 MAKE BIG MONEY 15 8 MY SONG VENEZUELAN 17 9 MISS NALENEE 18 10 ALCALDESA 17 ENTRIES 6TH GPX APR 15 5 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT PURSE $42,000 (03:40) (11) 1 GINGER RUSH 23 2 STREET CASH 22 3 LADY LYDIE 10 4 GELATO GAL R1 5 TIZ TWICE R1 6 MISS BOB 11 7 CONQUEST SARAHSTAR 22 8 TIZ MADNESS 19 9 MICHAELSLITTLEALLY 21 10 IANA R1 11 ALABAMA ASHLEY 22 ENTRIES 7TH GPX APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP MAIDEN CLAIMING 12,500-ALL PURSE $15,000 (04:13) (10) 1 MISS NIAGARA 15 2 GIULIETTA Q 6 3 MACROECONOMICS 5 4 DIAMOND TOUR 8 5 STARSHIP MAIDEN 16 6 TRANSCENDENT FAITH 12 7 LIGIA ELENA 15 8 UNKNOWN 18 9 GLOTONA AGAIN 13 10 CALYPSO MUSIC 11Keeneland April 15
ENTRIES 4TH KEE APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 10,000-ALL PURSE $19,000 (02:45) (11)
1 KICKING KITTY 17
2 JUDSONSPRETTYGIRL 17
3 BONNIE BLUE EYES 21
4 GINGER STONE 18
5 RANGER'S DREAM 16
6 CALL ME ANNA 20
7 RUSTICANA 23
8 OUR ADIEU 19
9 MISS THANG 19
10 THIRTY EIGHT PLUS 12
11 ANGELIC SCORE 25
ENTRIES 5TH KEE APR 15
5 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS
ALLOWANCE
PURSE $62,000 (03:18) (11)
9 Urban Bourbon 26
8 Peppermint Zip 25
5 Expected Ruler 24
4 Oscar Mike 24
7 John Q. Public 23
10 Vittorioso 22
1 Leroi's Thrill 21
1A Ready by You 19
2 Mykonos 19
3 Bourne Country 12
6 Silent Mission 10
ENTRIES 7TH KEE APR 15
7 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE
PURSE $62,000 (04:24) (9 )
1 MAKIN' SENSE 12 L118 HERNANDEZ B J JR NAFZGER CARL A
2 MERCER MILL MAE 12 L118 ALBARADO R J LOVELL MICHELLE
3 STRIKE BACK FAST 12 L118 LANERIE C J WILKES IAN R
4 IMPROV 12N L123 LEPAROUX JULIEN R ARNOLD GEORGE R II
5 APOLOGYNOTACCEPTED 11N L120 LEZCANO JOSE MOTT WILLIAM I
6 PURIM'S DANAWA 12 L118 MURRILL MITCHELL YARBERRY LAURA JAN
7 I'LL TAKE CHARGE 12N L118 GRAHAM J QUAST TODD
8 C ISLANDSURPRISE 12 L118 TORRES F C MCGEE PAUL
9 CONTRASTING 11 L118 SAEZ LUIS DRURY THOMAS JR
ENTRIES 4TH KEE APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP CLAIMING 10,000-ALL PURSE $19,000 (02:45) (11) 1 KICKING KITTY 17 2 JUDSONSPRETTYGIRL 17 3 BONNIE BLUE EYES 21 4 GINGER STONE 18 5 RANGER'S DREAM 16 6 CALL ME ANNA 20 7 RUSTICANA 23 8 OUR ADIEU 19 9 MISS THANG 19 10 THIRTY EIGHT PLUS 12 11 ANGELIC SCORE 25 ENTRIES 5TH KEE APR 15 5 1/2 FURLONGS TURF THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS ALLOWANCE PURSE $62,000 (03:18) (11)ENTRIES 7TH KEE APR 15 7 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP ALLOWANCE PURSE $62,000 (04:24) (9 ) 1 MAKIN' SENSE 12 L118 HERNANDEZ B J JR NAFZGER CARL A 2 MERCER MILL MAE 12 L118 ALBARADO R J LOVELL MICHELLE 3 STRIKE BACK FAST 12 L118 LANERIE C J WILKES IAN R 4 IMPROV 12N L123 LEPAROUX JULIEN R ARNOLD GEORGE R II 5 APOLOGYNOTACCEPTED 11N L120 LEZCANO JOSE MOTT WILLIAM I 6 PURIM'S DANAWA 12 L118 MURRILL MITCHELL YARBERRY LAURA JAN 7 I'LL TAKE CHARGE 12N L118 GRAHAM J QUAST TODD 8 C ISLANDSURPRISE 12 L118 TORRES F C MCGEE PAUL 9 CONTRASTING 11 L118 SAEZ LUIS DRURY THOMAS JR9 Urban Bourbon 26
8 Peppermint Zip 25
5 Expected Ruler 24
4 Oscar Mike 24
7 John Q. Public 23
10 Vittorioso 22
1 Leroi's Thrill 21
1A Ready by You 19
2 Mykonos 19
3 Bourne Country 12
6 Silent Mission 10
Oaklawn Park April 15
ENTRIES 1ST OPX APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 10,000-7,500 PURSE $25,000 (01:30) (11)
1 QAADIH 12 L118 OCAMPO ISRAEL HALL JOHN L
2 JET TRICK 12 L119 COURT J K FRAZEE LARRY
3 HITHEREDARLING 12 L119 WETHEY FLOYD JR MCNAIR SCOTTY D
4 SYLVAN HILLS BOY 12N L111 THOMPSON T J CATES AL
5 BEAR'S THE NAME 12 L119 PURCELL KELSI STIVERS BRIAN J
6 IFYOUWINYOUGETMORE 13N L118 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
7 SMILING CHARLIE 11 L119 CANCHARI ALEX ROBERTSON MCLEAN
8 SANTORINI SKY 12 L119 DE LA CRUZ WALTER PUHL KIM
9 ROCKSTAR JAM 12 L124 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA HARTMAN CHRIS
10 SPEEDY GUNZALIOUS 11 L116 BIRZER A E VAN BERG JACK C
11 NO SUPERVISION 12 L124 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC
ENTRIES 5TH OPX APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP
STARTER ALLOWANCE
PURSE $27,000 (03:19) (11)
1 QUITTIN TIME 10 L119 DE LA CRUZ WALTER LYNN JEFFERY C
2 TAKE IT LIKE A MAN 10 L115 SANTANA RICARDO JR DIODORO ROBERTINO
3 RHETORICAL 09 L119 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA DIODORO ROBERTINO
4 QUICK SAND 11 L115 COURT J K FRAZEE LARRY
5 THE LONE ROO 12 L115 CANCHARI ALEX PUHL KIM
6 STAR'S VALENTINO 09 L123 LOVEBERRY JARETH PETALINO JOE
7 SUSPECT A STORM 12 L114 QUINONEZ B MARTIN TIMOTHY E
8A ZONED IN 12 L123 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC
9A DEHAVEN 11 L119 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC
10 TIREE 09 L115 BIRZER A E VAN BERG JACK C
11 MAGIC COMMAND 11 L115 HILL C MASON INGRID
A-COUPLED: DEHAVEN AND ZONED IN
ENTRIES 6TH OPX APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
CLAIMING 50,000-40,000 PURSE $39,000 (03:46) (12)
1 PRECIOUS PASSION 11N L119 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA RIECKEN BRUCE
2 GREELY'S STRIKER 12 L116 QUINONEZ L S THOMAS GARY A
3 JERI BELLA 13 L115 THOMPSON T J ASHAUER NORMAN
4 STREET THUNDER 13 L118 VAZQUEZ R A GORDER KELLYN
5 BIKINI CREEK 11 L117 HILL C WITT ERNIE II
6 SCADADLE 12 L119 BIRZER A E RICHARD CHRIS
7 PINK BUBBLE 12 L122 CANCHARI ALEX ROBERTSON MCLEAN
8 HOOSESSENTIAL 12 L119 LOVEBERRY JARETH HUGHES DENNIS P
9 EURODEVILWOMAN 13 L115 DE LA CRUZ WALTER VAN BERG JACK C
10 AVALANCHE GIRL 11 L119 QUINONEZ B MYERS KELLY MAUREEN
11 ERVSAYSLETHERGO 13 L118 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
12 FLEET GREY 13N L115 GEROUX FLORENT ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
ENTRIES 8TH OPX APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
PURSE $79,000 (04:42) (12)
1 SWEET PLATINUM 10 L124 GARCIA MARTIN HARTMAN CHRIS
2 LAUGH AT LIFE 10 L119 QUINONEZ B MARTIN TIMOTHY E
3 GNARLY HARLY 12 L119 HILL C ANDERSON DOUG L
4 POLITICAL JUSTICE 09N L119 ROCCO J S JR CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET
5 WINGS LOCKED UP 12N L124 CORBETT G W STUART CLINTON C
6 OR SUNDAY 11 L124 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA DIODORO ROBERTINO
7 COVERALLYOURBASES 12 L124 CANCHARI ALEX RITCHEY TIM F
8 FIRE MISSION 10 L119 LANDEROS CHRIS RICHARD CHRIS
9 TAPIT WICKED 12 L119 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
10 THE ROCK ROLLS 10 L119 BIRZER A E CHLEBORAD LYNN
11 OUR DOC TANNER 12 L119 VAZQUEZ R A CATES AL
12 BO TALON 12N L119 COURT J K FIRES WILLIAM H
ENTRIES 10TH OPX APR 15
5 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
PURSE $76,000 (05:38) (11)
1 HEAT ROAD 13 L118 DE LA CRUZ WALTER CATES AL
2 I AM 13 L111 XX CRUZ NARCISO C IVES TOMMY
3 RAPID RED 12 L124 LANDEROS CHRIS ROBERTSON MCLEAN
4 BUD DEE LOVE 13 L118 GARCIA MARTIN HARTMAN CHRIS
5 EMOJI MAN 13 L118 COURT J K LUKAS D WAYNE
6 FRONT POCKET MONEY 13 L118 GEROUX FLORENT ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
7 EL VENUE 13N L118 CANCHARI ALEX MORSE RANDY L
8 WAR RIDE 12N L124 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M
9 MAX'S CAYMAN CAT 13 L118 BIRZER A E PETALINO JOE
10 JUJU'S SONG 13N L118 CORBETT G W VON HEMEL KELLY
11 RED FERN 13N L118 VAZQUEZ R A FORSTER GRANT T
ENTRIES 1ST OPX APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP CLAIMING 10,000-7,500 PURSE $25,000 (01:30) (11) 1 QAADIH 12 L118 OCAMPO ISRAEL HALL JOHN L 2 JET TRICK 12 L119 COURT J K FRAZEE LARRY 3 HITHEREDARLING 12 L119 WETHEY FLOYD JR MCNAIR SCOTTY D 4 SYLVAN HILLS BOY 12N L111 THOMPSON T J CATES AL 5 BEAR'S THE NAME 12 L119 PURCELL KELSI STIVERS BRIAN J 6 IFYOUWINYOUGETMORE 13N L118 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M 7 SMILING CHARLIE 11 L119 CANCHARI ALEX ROBERTSON MCLEAN 8 SANTORINI SKY 12 L119 DE LA CRUZ WALTER PUHL KIM 9 ROCKSTAR JAM 12 L124 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA HARTMAN CHRIS 10 SPEEDY GUNZALIOUS 11 L116 BIRZER A E VAN BERG JACK C 11 NO SUPERVISION 12 L124 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC ENTRIES 5TH OPX APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 4 YEAR OLDS AND UP STARTER ALLOWANCE PURSE $27,000 (03:19) (11) 1 QUITTIN TIME 10 L119 DE LA CRUZ WALTER LYNN JEFFERY C 2 TAKE IT LIKE A MAN 10 L115 SANTANA RICARDO JR DIODORO ROBERTINO 3 RHETORICAL 09 L119 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA DIODORO ROBERTINO 4 QUICK SAND 11 L115 COURT J K FRAZEE LARRY 5 THE LONE ROO 12 L115 CANCHARI ALEX PUHL KIM 6 STAR'S VALENTINO 09 L123 LOVEBERRY JARETH PETALINO JOE 7 SUSPECT A STORM 12 L114 QUINONEZ B MARTIN TIMOTHY E 8A ZONED IN 12 L123 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC 9A DEHAVEN 11 L119 VAZQUEZ R A VILLAFRANCO FREDERIC 10 TIREE 09 L115 BIRZER A E VAN BERG JACK C 11 MAGIC COMMAND 11 L115 HILL C MASON INGRID A-COUPLED: DEHAVEN AND ZONED IN ENTRIES 6TH OPX APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP CLAIMING 50,000-40,000 PURSE $39,000 (03:46) (12) 1 PRECIOUS PASSION 11N L119 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA RIECKEN BRUCE 2 GREELY'S STRIKER 12 L116 QUINONEZ L S THOMAS GARY A 3 JERI BELLA 13 L115 THOMPSON T J ASHAUER NORMAN 4 STREET THUNDER 13 L118 VAZQUEZ R A GORDER KELLYN 5 BIKINI CREEK 11 L117 HILL C WITT ERNIE II 6 SCADADLE 12 L119 BIRZER A E RICHARD CHRIS 7 PINK BUBBLE 12 L122 CANCHARI ALEX ROBERTSON MCLEAN 8 HOOSESSENTIAL 12 L119 LOVEBERRY JARETH HUGHES DENNIS P 9 EURODEVILWOMAN 13 L115 DE LA CRUZ WALTER VAN BERG JACK C 10 AVALANCHE GIRL 11 L119 QUINONEZ B MYERS KELLY MAUREEN 11 ERVSAYSLETHERGO 13 L118 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M 12 FLEET GREY 13N L115 GEROUX FLORENT ASMUSSEN STEVEN M ENTRIES 8TH OPX APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING PURSE $79,000 (04:42) (12) 1 SWEET PLATINUM 10 L124 GARCIA MARTIN HARTMAN CHRIS 2 LAUGH AT LIFE 10 L119 QUINONEZ B MARTIN TIMOTHY E 3 GNARLY HARLY 12 L119 HILL C ANDERSON DOUG L 4 POLITICAL JUSTICE 09N L119 ROCCO J S JR CALHOUN WILLIAM BRET 5 WINGS LOCKED UP 12N L124 CORBETT G W STUART CLINTON C 6 OR SUNDAY 11 L124 FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVA DIODORO ROBERTINO 7 COVERALLYOURBASES 12 L124 CANCHARI ALEX RITCHEY TIM F 8 FIRE MISSION 10 L119 LANDEROS CHRIS RICHARD CHRIS 9 TAPIT WICKED 12 L119 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M 10 THE ROCK ROLLS 10 L119 BIRZER A E CHLEBORAD LYNN 11 OUR DOC TANNER 12 L119 VAZQUEZ R A CATES AL 12 BO TALON 12N L119 COURT J K FIRES WILLIAM H ENTRIES 10TH OPX APR 15 5 1/2 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED OPEN 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT PURSE $76,000 (05:38) (11) 1 HEAT ROAD 13 L118 DE LA CRUZ WALTER CATES AL 2 I AM 13 L111 XX CRUZ NARCISO C IVES TOMMY 3 RAPID RED 12 L124 LANDEROS CHRIS ROBERTSON MCLEAN 4 BUD DEE LOVE 13 L118 GARCIA MARTIN HARTMAN CHRIS 5 EMOJI MAN 13 L118 COURT J K LUKAS D WAYNE 6 FRONT POCKET MONEY 13 L118 GEROUX FLORENT ASMUSSEN STEVEN M 7 EL VENUE 13N L118 CANCHARI ALEX MORSE RANDY L 8 WAR RIDE 12N L124 SANTANA RICARDO JR ASMUSSEN STEVEN M 9 MAX'S CAYMAN CAT 13 L118 BIRZER A E PETALINO JOE 10 JUJU'S SONG 13N L118 CORBETT G W VON HEMEL KELLY 11 RED FERN 13N L118 VAZQUEZ R A FORSTER GRANT T
Tampa Bay Downs April 15
ENTRIES 8TH TAM APR 15
6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP
MAIDEN
CLAIMING 12,500-10,000 PURSE $12,500 (04:29) (9 )
1 GOOD RIDDANZ DRICA 13 L116 FIGUEROA LUIS HERNANDEZ SANDINO R
2 BABYRAE 13 L118 RODRIGUEZ E D STIFANO RAYMOND E
3 CASSIDYS JEWEL 13 L118 ALLEN R D JR JACKSON GARY G
4 AROMA BLUE 13 L118 CAMACHO SAMY PARRA HERNAN
5 DULCE VIDA 12 123 VILLA-GOMEZ H BARBARAN HORACIO
6 GO CATRINA GO 13 L118 SANTOS ADEMAR BARBARAN HORACIO
7 EXCLUSIVE BELLA 13N L118 GARCIA GEOVANY MCKANAS LEON J
8 FOSTERINGGREATNESS 13 + L118 EVANS CECILY CEPEDA CARLOS A
9 MEYDENBAUER BAY 13 L118 MORALES PABLO HELMBRECHT WILLIAM R
ENTRIES 8TH TAM APR 15 6 FURLONGS DIRT THOROUGHBRED FILLIES AND MARES 3 YEAR OLDS AND UP MAIDEN CLAIMING 12,500-10,000 PURSE $12,500 (04:29) (9 ) 1 GOOD RIDDANZ DRICA 13 L116 FIGUEROA LUIS HERNANDEZ SANDINO R 2 BABYRAE 13 L118 RODRIGUEZ E D STIFANO RAYMOND E 3 CASSIDYS JEWEL 13 L118 ALLEN R D JR JACKSON GARY G 4 AROMA BLUE 13 L118 CAMACHO SAMY PARRA HERNAN 5 DULCE VIDA 12 123 VILLA-GOMEZ H BARBARAN HORACIO 6 GO CATRINA GO 13 L118 SANTOS ADEMAR BARBARAN HORACIO 7 EXCLUSIVE BELLA 13N L118 GARCIA GEOVANY MCKANAS LEON J 8 FOSTERINGGREATNESS 13 + L118 EVANS CECILY CEPEDA CARLOS A 9 MEYDENBAUER BAY 13 L118 MORALES PABLO HELMBRECHT WILLIAM R
Thursday, April 07, 2016
KEENELAND HORSE RACING APRIL 9
It looks chalky out there.
The weather may be a factor, but most likely, we're going to see a lot of low prices.
Win chances vary greatly by race but in general they are:
The points are meant to peak around 50, indicating the very best class of horses.
A horse that is more than 3 points lower than the favorite has a very poor chance of winning.
BET ALL: 38 BETS, $76.00
RETURN: $93.40
RACE ONE
#7-DAN THE GO TO MAN 41 >8/5
#4-DIVINE WARRIOR 38
#2-TORONTES 38 $17.00
RACE TWO'
#1-LIMOUSINE LIBERAL 48 >8/5 $3.40
#5-NILE OF THE HUNTER 47
#2-TWO WEEKS OFF 47
RACE THREE
This race and the next one have dominant favorites.
#10-LLANITA 40 >1/2
#12-NO FAULT 36
#7-PRINCESS SILVIA 28 $32.00
RACE FOUR
#1-MUTARAAMY 43 > 9/5
#4-FACTION CAT 39
RACE FIVE
#2-SYMPATHY 42 >9/5
#5-DEA 41
#12-BAI BAI BABY 40
#11-COLLEGE HOLLY 39
RACE SIX THE ASHLAND G1
#3-CATHRYN SOPHIA 50 >9/5
#4-RACHEL'S VALENTINA 50 >5/2
#5-CARINA MIA 47
RACE SEVEN, COMMONWEALTH G3
#9-HOLY BOSS 51 >5/2
#2-READY FOR RYE 50 >5/2
#1-CLEARLY NOW 49 >6/1
RACE EIGHT, SHAKERTOWN STAKES SPRINT
I cannot figure why the Morning Line hates the #11 at a 50/1 level. This is his first grass race, but he's won four times in eight tries, including two on the artificial surface. I'd guess the bettors will drag him down to 15/1, but even at that he's a bargain.
#10-UNDRAFTED 52 > 2/1$9.00
#11-WOODLAND WALK 50 >15/1
RACE NINE, THE MADISON G1
Now here's a truly competitive race
#12-STOPCHARGING MARIA 54 > 4/1
#3-WAVELL AVENUE 53 >6/1
#4-SUNDAY RULES 53 > 8/1
#2-SHEER DRAMA 52 >10/1$8.40
RACE TEN, THE BLUEGRASS G1
#4-ZULU 50 >5/2
#14-MY MAN SAM 47 >4/1
#7-LAOBAN 47 >6/1
#2-DONEGAL MOON 47 >15/1
#6-BRODY'S CAUSE 44 > 9/1 $10.40
RACE ELEVEN
#5-REBELLE 38 > 3/2
#6-ALWAYS RIGHT 35 $13.20
#13-SHE'S SO FINE 35
The weather may be a factor, but most likely, we're going to see a lot of low prices.
Win chances vary greatly by race but in general they are:
- First listed 28%
- Second listed 18%
- Third listed 14%
- Fourth listed 10%
The points are meant to peak around 50, indicating the very best class of horses.
A horse that is more than 3 points lower than the favorite has a very poor chance of winning.
BET ALL: 38 BETS, $76.00
RETURN: $93.40
RACE ONE
#7-DAN THE GO TO MAN 41 >8/5
#4-DIVINE WARRIOR 38
#2-TORONTES 38 $17.00
RACE TWO'
#1-LIMOUSINE LIBERAL 48 >8/5 $3.40
#5-NILE OF THE HUNTER 47
#2-TWO WEEKS OFF 47
RACE THREE
This race and the next one have dominant favorites.
#10-LLANITA 40 >1/2
#12-NO FAULT 36
#7-PRINCESS SILVIA 28 $32.00
RACE FOUR
#1-MUTARAAMY 43 > 9/5
#4-FACTION CAT 39
RACE FIVE
#2-SYMPATHY 42 >9/5
#5-DEA 41
#12-BAI BAI BABY 40
#11-COLLEGE HOLLY 39
RACE SIX THE ASHLAND G1
#3-CATHRYN SOPHIA 50 >9/5
#4-RACHEL'S VALENTINA 50 >5/2
#5-CARINA MIA 47
RACE SEVEN, COMMONWEALTH G3
#9-HOLY BOSS 51 >5/2
#2-READY FOR RYE 50 >5/2
#1-CLEARLY NOW 49 >6/1
RACE EIGHT, SHAKERTOWN STAKES SPRINT
I cannot figure why the Morning Line hates the #11 at a 50/1 level. This is his first grass race, but he's won four times in eight tries, including two on the artificial surface. I'd guess the bettors will drag him down to 15/1, but even at that he's a bargain.
#10-UNDRAFTED 52 > 2/1$9.00
#11-WOODLAND WALK 50 >15/1
RACE NINE, THE MADISON G1
Now here's a truly competitive race
#12-STOPCHARGING MARIA 54 > 4/1
#3-WAVELL AVENUE 53 >6/1
#4-SUNDAY RULES 53 > 8/1
#2-SHEER DRAMA 52 >10/1$8.40
RACE TEN, THE BLUEGRASS G1
#4-ZULU 50 >5/2
#14-MY MAN SAM 47 >4/1
#7-LAOBAN 47 >6/1
#2-DONEGAL MOON 47 >15/1
#6-BRODY'S CAUSE 44 > 9/1 $10.40
RACE ELEVEN
#5-REBELLE 38 > 3/2
#6-ALWAYS RIGHT 35 $13.20
#13-SHE'S SO FINE 35
Friday, April 01, 2016
HORSE RACING, GULFSTREAM, APRIL 2, FLORIDA DERBY DAY
[ ^ means expected tote, and is not intended as an indicator of fair odds.]
RACE ONE
(PICK3: 11*5 with 10 with 1*2*3*5*7 $10)
11-ARIPEKA 49 ^5/2 fair $6.80
5- GOLD SHIELD 45 (6/1 ML)
Shug come backer could score.
---------
8-INDIAN GUIDE 42
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWO
10-GEH SCHNELL 34 (12/1 ML)
Has been facing better than these
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THREE
Best longshot race on the card.
1-RASTA RANT 42 ^3/1 fair
2-WILDCAT WISH 40 ^7/1 $7.20
3-COALMINER 40 ^4/1 $5.80
5-MACH MY DAY 40 ^11/1
7-JAMIE'S DANCER 39 ^11/1 fair
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOUR
Pass
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FIVE, SKIPAWAY GRADE 3
Valid's top competitors have no graded races.
Expected tote: 1/2
5-VALID 53 ^1/2 $2.80
Rarely misses at Gulfstream
-------------------
1-TEAM COLORS 50 $3.00
Muddy win, layoff, class rise.
6-SAVOY STOMP 46
Wins and steps up in class.
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SIX
(Pick3 9*11*4 with 7*5 with 1*4*8 $18)
9-CONQUEST STORMY 39 ^2/1 fair
Nice debut, time off.
11-GRAND NUENCO 37 ^20/1 fair
Breather after lousy race, sharp works.
4-TITANIUM HEART 37 ^17/1
Good closer, still learning
10-BERLINER 36 ^ 9/5
Could win, but not worth cheap price.
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SEVEN
7-OFF THE TRACKS 46 ^4/5
5-GOMO 44 ^8/1
O'Neil, not the best layoff trainer.
------------------
3-GO MAGGIE GO 42 $10.00
1-PAOLA QUEEN 40 $5.60
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE EIGHT
1-ALL INCLUDED 49 ^2/1
4-LONG ON VALUE 49 ^10/1
8-REPORTING STAR 49 ^7/1 $19.00
---------------------------
7-FORCE THE PASS 47 ^3/2 Bad bet
Layoff, and not even close to being best here.
5-SKY CAPTAIN 47 ^15/1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE NINE
Pass
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TEN
(Pick3 3*5 with 1*4*6 with 4*6*5 $18)
6-ANCHOR DOWN 51 ^2/1
3-GRAND SHORES 50 ^9/1 $9.40
5-DEFER HEAVEN 48 ^2/1
-----------------------------------
2-YOURDREAMSORMINE 45
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE ELEVEN
(Pick4 1*4*6* with 4*6*5 with 1*4 with 4*9) $36
1-CRISOLLES 48
4-PHOTO CALL 47 $2.00
6-MAXIMOVA 47
--------------
2-CELESTINE 46
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWELVE, THE HONEY FOX GRADE 2
(Pick3 4*6*5 with 1*4*7 with 4*9 $18)
4-SANDIVA 49 ^8/5
6-LADY LARA 47 ^5/2
5-TAMMY THE TORPEDO 47 ^6/1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THIRTEEN, THE PAN AMERICAN GRADE 2
1-KAIGUN 49 ^7/2 fair $7.60
4-GRAND TITO 48 ^5/2
-------------------------
Expect 8/5 odds and very bad bet.
7-WAKE FOREST 45 ^8/5 $4.00
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOURTEEN, FLORIDA DERBY
3/2 on each obvious horse would be fair.
But there's no way you'll get those odds.
"Never bet the hype horse."
4-NYQUIST 51 $4.40
9-MOHAYMEN 50
--------
2-FELLOWSHIP 44 ^ 8/1
7-TAKEITOTHEEDGE 44 ^10/1
3-MAJESTO 41 ^25/1 $11.00
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
$68 bet all, 8 winners, $59.20 return
RACE ONE
(PICK3: 11*5 with 10 with 1*2*3*5*7 $10)
11-ARIPEKA 49 ^5/2 fair $6.80
5- GOLD SHIELD 45 (6/1 ML)
Shug come backer could score.
---------
8-INDIAN GUIDE 42
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWO
10-GEH SCHNELL 34 (12/1 ML)
Has been facing better than these
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THREE
Best longshot race on the card.
1-RASTA RANT 42 ^3/1 fair
2-WILDCAT WISH 40 ^7/1 $7.20
3-COALMINER 40 ^4/1 $5.80
5-MACH MY DAY 40 ^11/1
7-JAMIE'S DANCER 39 ^11/1 fair
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOUR
Pass
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FIVE, SKIPAWAY GRADE 3
Valid's top competitors have no graded races.
Expected tote: 1/2
5-VALID 53 ^1/2 $2.80
Rarely misses at Gulfstream
-------------------
1-TEAM COLORS 50 $3.00
Muddy win, layoff, class rise.
6-SAVOY STOMP 46
Wins and steps up in class.
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SIX
(Pick3 9*11*4 with 7*5 with 1*4*8 $18)
9-CONQUEST STORMY 39 ^2/1 fair
Nice debut, time off.
11-GRAND NUENCO 37 ^20/1 fair
Breather after lousy race, sharp works.
4-TITANIUM HEART 37 ^17/1
Good closer, still learning
10-BERLINER 36 ^ 9/5
Could win, but not worth cheap price.
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SEVEN
7-OFF THE TRACKS 46 ^4/5
5-GOMO 44 ^8/1
O'Neil, not the best layoff trainer.
------------------
3-GO MAGGIE GO 42 $10.00
1-PAOLA QUEEN 40 $5.60
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE EIGHT
1-ALL INCLUDED 49 ^2/1
4-LONG ON VALUE 49 ^10/1
8-REPORTING STAR 49 ^7/1 $19.00
---------------------------
7-FORCE THE PASS 47 ^3/2 Bad bet
Layoff, and not even close to being best here.
5-SKY CAPTAIN 47 ^15/1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE NINE
Pass
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TEN
(Pick3 3*5 with 1*4*6 with 4*6*5 $18)
3-GRAND SHORES 50 ^9/1 $9.40
5-DEFER HEAVEN 48 ^2/1
-----------------------------------
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE ELEVEN
(Pick4 1*4*6* with 4*6*5 with 1*4 with 4*9) $36
1-CRISOLLES 48
4-PHOTO CALL 47 $2.00
6-MAXIMOVA 47
--------------
2-CELESTINE 46
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWELVE, THE HONEY FOX GRADE 2
(Pick3 4*6*5 with 1*4*7 with 4*9 $18)
4-SANDIVA 49 ^8/5
6-LADY LARA 47 ^5/2
5-TAMMY THE TORPEDO 47 ^6/1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THIRTEEN, THE PAN AMERICAN GRADE 2
1-KAIGUN 49 ^7/2 fair $7.60
4-GRAND TITO 48 ^5/2
-------------------------
Expect 8/5 odds and very bad bet.
7-WAKE FOREST 45 ^8/5 $4.00
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOURTEEN, FLORIDA DERBY
3/2 on each obvious horse would be fair.
But there's no way you'll get those odds.
"Never bet the hype horse."
4-NYQUIST 51 $4.40
9-MOHAYMEN 50
--------
2-FELLOWSHIP 44 ^ 8/1
7-TAKEITOTHEEDGE 44 ^10/1
3-MAJESTO 41 ^25/1 $11.00
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
Friday, March 25, 2016
HORSE RACING, FAIR GROUNDS, MARCH 26
RESULT: 49 PICKS, $98 BET-ALL
10 WINS 23%
RETURN $91
($468 rolling pick-3, return $523)
RACE ONE
11-AIRBROOKE =85+9
Improving every race.
2-OPEN INTEREST =61
7-LIL OFF CENTER =60
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWO, STAR GUITAR
1-SUNBEAN =111+8 $3.00
Sharp works, speed on rail 13-for-22 career.
4-ONE KING'S MAN 105+1
3-STORMDRIVER =103+4
2-NEXT EVENT =103+1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THREE
6-NO DISTORTION =100+14 $3.60
$1 exacta paid $9.80
Always in stretch battle, will get lucky some time.
7-AIKEN'S ALLEY =89+6
9-AZTEC SENSE =87+6 place $5.00
$27 pick-3= 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOUR
2-BELOMOR =102+6
Front runner, may weaken late.
6-LET US BE GLAD =99+18 $2.20
Primed for layoff win.
10- NEXT EVENT =97+17
Good form and jockey.
9 -TRUE FLAT =97+9
Lousy turf trainer
$36 pick-3 = $12
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FIVE
5-SEA VOW =99+9
4-for7 and early speed.
8-ICY GENTELMAN =96+11
4-for 8 and speedy.
1-MAGEEZ =101
Blow out win, but will be buried on rail.
11-HUNKER DOWN =90
$48 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SIX
7-TUTTIPAESI =113+15
Bill Mott mare has won off layoff before.
5-CASH CONTROL =106+9
4-STOUPINATOR=104
$24 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SEVEN, NEW ORLEANS HANDICAP
(Best longshot race on the card.)
4-MAJESTIC HARBOR =118
Just won a G3
10- EAGLE =115+4
Fabulous route jock, but unproven at distance.
3-JESSICA'S STAR =112
Versatile, good jockey and 12/1
9-FREESTYLER =112+5
10 wins but none at the distance.
8-MOBILE BAY =111+2
2-for-4 at the distance
1-INTERNATIONAL STAR =110+3
John R + 4-for-5 at FG.
$40 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE EIGHT, THE MUNIZ
3-CAN'T HELP BELIEVING =117+2
4-CHOCOLATE RIDE =115+17
Seems unbeatable but has lost 9 times, so...
1-TAKE THE STAND =111 $18.00
$1 exacta $46.60
2-ROMAN APPROVAL =111+6
10-WORLD APPROVAL 111+6 place $4.60
$30 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE NINE, THE OAKS
8-LAND OVER SEA =107+7 $5.60
Closer, loves to place.
4-STAGEPLAY =104+14
Just met first failure in a G2.
2-MIDNIGHT ON OCONEE =102+6
6-STREET FANCY = 100+6
$40 pick 3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TEN, THE DERBY
6 MO TOM =110+6
Late charger has't missed the money yet.
2-GREENPOINTECRUSADER =110+2
Biggest win was in slop, so...
1-GUN RUNNER =110+2 $9.80
3-for-4 with G2 win.
$36 Pick-3 = $182
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE ELEVEN
5-TOO DIM =112+1
10-HETAI =112+19
16 wins, layoff with excellent prospects.
1-JOCKAMO'S SONG =102+3 $15.80
$36 pick-3 = $126
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWELVE
8-JET BLACK MAGIC =102+7 place $3.00
In the money all seven tries.
2-OUR LADY ALLIE =97+7 $5.20
$1 exacta $6.80
Never a bad race.
1-THEGOODWITCH =89
9-AUNT NELLIE =87
$48 pick-3 = $120
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THIRTEEN
12-SWEET ACCLAIM =103+22 $7.00
A long time off and a big drop in class. Many doubts.
6 MERCER MILL MAE =94
4-WALKING THE KITTEN =94+12
5-JOKASA =89+1
$48 pick-3 = $50
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOURTEEN
5 OUR WILD DANCER =86+7
Albert Stall and best speed last race.
6-SOUTHERN ARGUMENT =83+2
13 CLASSIC SOPO =76
9 CARMENS CATCHER 76 $20.80
$64 pick-3 = $53
10 WINS 23%
RETURN $91
($468 rolling pick-3, return $523)
RACE ONE
11-AIRBROOKE =85+9
Improving every race.
2-OPEN INTEREST =61
7-LIL OFF CENTER =60
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWO, STAR GUITAR
1-SUNBEAN =111+8 $3.00
Sharp works, speed on rail 13-for-22 career.
4-ONE KING'S MAN 105+1
2-NEXT EVENT =103+1
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THREE
6-NO DISTORTION =100+14 $3.60
$1 exacta paid $9.80
Always in stretch battle, will get lucky some time.
7-AIKEN'S ALLEY =89+6
9-AZTEC SENSE =87+6 place $5.00
$27 pick-3= 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOUR
2-BELOMOR =102+6
Front runner, may weaken late.
6-LET US BE GLAD =99+18 $2.20
Primed for layoff win.
10- NEXT EVENT =97+17
Good form and jockey.
9 -TRUE FLAT =97+9
Lousy turf trainer
$36 pick-3 = $12
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FIVE
5-SEA VOW =99+9
4-for7 and early speed.
8-ICY GENTELMAN =96+11
4-for 8 and speedy.
1-MAGEEZ =101
Blow out win, but will be buried on rail.
11-HUNKER DOWN =90
$48 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SIX
5-CASH CONTROL =106+9
4-STOUPINATOR=104
$24 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE SEVEN, NEW ORLEANS HANDICAP
(Best longshot race on the card.)
4-MAJESTIC HARBOR =118
Just won a G3
10- EAGLE =115+4
Fabulous route jock, but unproven at distance.
3-JESSICA'S STAR =112
Versatile, good jockey and 12/1
9-FREESTYLER =112+5
10 wins but none at the distance.
8-MOBILE BAY =111+2
2-for-4 at the distance
1-INTERNATIONAL STAR =110+3
John R + 4-for-5 at FG.
$40 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE EIGHT, THE MUNIZ
4-CHOCOLATE RIDE =115+17
Seems unbeatable but has lost 9 times, so...
1-TAKE THE STAND =111 $18.00
$1 exacta $46.60
2-ROMAN APPROVAL =111+6
10-WORLD APPROVAL 111+6 place $4.60
$30 pick-3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE NINE, THE OAKS
8-LAND OVER SEA =107+7 $5.60
Closer, loves to place.
4-STAGEPLAY =104+14
Just met first failure in a G2.
2-MIDNIGHT ON OCONEE =102+6
6-STREET FANCY = 100+6
$40 pick 3 = 0
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TEN, THE DERBY
6 MO TOM =110+6
Late charger has't missed the money yet.
2-GREENPOINTECRUSADER =110+2
Biggest win was in slop, so...
1-GUN RUNNER =110+2 $9.80
3-for-4 with G2 win.
$36 Pick-3 = $182
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE ELEVEN
5-TOO DIM =112+1
10-HETAI =112+19
16 wins, layoff with excellent prospects.
1-JOCKAMO'S SONG =102+3 $15.80
$36 pick-3 = $126
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE TWELVE
8-JET BLACK MAGIC =102+7 place $3.00
In the money all seven tries.
2-OUR LADY ALLIE =97+7 $5.20
$1 exacta $6.80
Never a bad race.
1-THEGOODWITCH =89
9-AUNT NELLIE =87
$48 pick-3 = $120
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE THIRTEEN
12-SWEET ACCLAIM =103+22 $7.00
A long time off and a big drop in class. Many doubts.
6 MERCER MILL MAE =94
4-WALKING THE KITTEN =94+12
5-JOKASA =89+1
$48 pick-3 = $50
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
RACE FOURTEEN
5 OUR WILD DANCER =86+7
Albert Stall and best speed last race.
6-SOUTHERN ARGUMENT =83+2
13 CLASSIC SOPO =76
9 CARMENS CATCHER 76 $20.80
$64 pick-3 = $53
Thursday, March 17, 2016
OAKLAWN PARK, REBEL DAY, MARCH 19, HORSE RACE HANDICAPPING FREE
]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]
Expected (long term) win percentages:
- Rank 1: 38%
- Rank 2: 23%
- Rank 3: 12%
- Rank 4: 8%
- Rank 5: 8%
8-CLASSIC ARCH 85
Mild drop, gotta score some day
9-SUN TSYZY 85
Obviously fit off last mile
11-SALLY'S NEWS 82
Got braver in last race
3-MAJESTIC MEGAN 78
Big drop may help
RACE TWO
1-WRATH OF RUTHIE 99
4/5 ML, and many questions
WIN 2/5
4-SWING IT DISH 98
Been racing way over her head.
PLACE 8/1
7-NORTHERN CONNECT 96
Meet easier; 20/1 juicy
5-FICTIONALITY 96
Ditto above, at 12/1
RACE THREE
6-LIMONTE 95
Big, hidden class drop
PLACE AT 5/1
8-LOCKER ROOM GUY 91
Assmussen claim and drop
RACE FOUR
11-BRILLIANT BELLE 81
Just missed after stumble start
4-PRETTY GREELY 79
Keeps Calvin, traffic last time
9-SKI TUNE 77
Meh. Long layoff, second race.
10-HEART OF A RANGER 76
Big class jump after just-miss.
PLACE AT 10/1
1-FAIRWAYGREEN 76
Placed debut, class jump now.
RACE FIVE
2-RHETORICAL 103
Sharp connections and win last
6-NOW AND ZEN 96
Tough at Oaklawn
10-SPANISH JAZZ 96
Powerful closer
RACE SIX
9-UNBRIDELD OUTLAW 100
Drop to claimer will help
PLACE AT 5/2
RACE SEVEN, THE AZERI GII
Time for a simple, straight trifecta?
7-UNTAPABLE 123
A monster in here
JUST MISSED AT 2/5
1-CALL PAT 109
The late charger
WIN AT 5/1
5-MESHELL 108
10-for-11 show chance
RACE EIGHT
1X-LOOKS TO SPARE 120
Classy, but questionable after layoff.
2 SMACK SMACK 113
8-for-20 career
6-FAR RIGHT 113
3-for-5 at OP
7-UPSTART 108
Ranks too low to be favored.
WIN AT 5/2
RACE NINE
7-KISS 92
Morning line fave
RACE TEN (THE REBEL)
The Southwest contenders at it again
12-SUDDENBREAKINGNEWS 110
Won Southwest
8-AMERICAN DUBAI 106
Showed in Southwest at 20/1
10-WHITMORE 106
Placed in Southwest
4-CUPID 101
7/2 too low for maiden winner
WIN AT 5/2
RACE ELEVEN
2-GOATS TOWN 97
PLACE 7/2
5-AMERICAN PIONEER 97
WIN 3/2
10-COLONEL DAN 97
FOURTH 5/1
7-BURNTWOOD 90
SHOW 9/1
$2 EXACTA BOX $9
$2 TRIFECTA $58
$24 SUPER $213
Friday, February 05, 2016
OAKLAWN FEB. 6.
| 10 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 29% |
| 2 | 1.5 | 4 | 48% |
| 9 | 3.6 | 7 | 60% |
| 7 | 3.9 | 7 | 72% |
| 5 | 5.8 | 15 | 78% |
| 3 | 6.6 | 15 | 84% |
| 8 | 7.0 | 20 | 89% |
| 1 | 8.0 | 26 | 93% |
| 6 | 8.2 | 26 | 96% |
| 4 | 8.3 | 26 | 100% |
| 5 | -0.3 | 2.3 | 30% |
| 1 | 1.3 | 4 | 49% |
| 6 | 3.7 | 7 | 61% |
| 3 | 3.7 | 7 | 74% |
| 7 | 5.4 | 15 | 80% |
| 8 | 5.8 | 15 | 86% |
| 4 | 6.0 | 15 | 93% |
| 9 | 8.1 | 19 | 98% |
| 2 | 10.0 | 39 | 100% |
| 3 | -0.3 | 2.4 | 30% |
| 6 | 3.3 | 7 | 42% |
| 4 | 6.0 | 7 | 54% |
| 2 | 9.2 | 7 | 67% |
| 10 | 5.0 | 15 | 73% |
| 8 | 5.7 | 15 | 79% |
| 1 | 6.3 | 15 | 85% |
| 7 | 6.2 | 19 | 90% |
| 9 | 6.3 | 19 | 95% |
| 5 | 7.2 | 19 | 100% |
| 1 | -0.2 | 3 | 29% |
| 2 | 0.5 | 4 | 50% |
| 4 | 0.6 | 4 | 72% |
| 7 | 0.9 | 4 | 92% |
| 3 | 3.6 | 10 | 100% |
| 6 | 6.5 | 27 | 104% |
| 5 | 14.2 | 111 | 105% |
| 3 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 37% |
| 9 | 2.7 | 4 | 55% |
| 4 | 5.6 | 12 | 63% |
| 11 | 5.9 | 12 | 71% |
| 6 | 8.1 | 21 | 75% |
| 12 | 8.4 | 21 | 80% |
| 2 | 8.9 | 21 | 85% |
| 10 | 9.4 | 21 | 89% |
| 1 | 11.7 | 32 | 92% |
| 8 | 13.8 | 32 | 95% |
| 5 | 14.0 | 32 | 98% |
| 7 | 26.5 | 64 | 100% |
| 4 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 31% |
| 2 | 2.1 | 8 | 42% |
| 6 | 2.4 | 8 | 54% |
| 7 | 5.2 | 8 | 65% |
| 8 | 3.6 | 10 | 75% |
| 3 | 4.3 | 13 | 82% |
| 5 | 4.5 | 13 | 89% |
| 10 | 4.6 | 13 | 96% |
| 1 | 7.9 | 28 | 99% |
| 9 | 9.2 | 42 | 102% |
| 5 | -0.5 | 2.4 | 29% |
| 1 | 0.3 | 3.1 | 53% |
| 4 | 1.6 | 6 | 68% |
| 7 | 2.3 | 9 | 78% |
| 3 | 2.8 | 9 | 87% |
| 2 | 3.2 | 9 | 97% |
| 6 | 9.1 | 51 | 99% |
| 8 | 13.0 | 102 | 100% |
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